Tip-Off: 7 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
Total: 217.5
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | vs. | Clippers |
| 21-12 (63%) | All | 20-13 (60%) |
| 11-5 (68%) at home | Location | 9-7 (56%) on the road |
| 20-12 (62%) as favorite | Status | 12-10 (54%) as underdog or pick |
| 11-5 (68%) as home favorite | Location Status | 7-6 (53%) as road underdog |
| 1-1 (50% | Head To Head | 1-1 (50%) |
Trends Against The Total
- Oklahoma City is 15-18 (48%) against the over on the season.
- Los Angeles is 12-20-1 (37%) against the over on the season.
- The Thunder is 9-7 (56%) against the over at home.
- The Clippers are 5-10-1 (33%) against the over at home.
Team Stats (Last Season’s Stats)
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAC | 108.8 | 107.8 | 46.4 | 36.7 | 43.9 | 24.2 | 16.6 | 9.7 | 4.4 | L1 | 5-5 |
| OKC | 115.3 | 103.3 | 46.6 | 34.5 | 44.0 | 25.8 | 11.8 | 11.9 | 6.0 | W12 | 10-0 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Alex Caruso (strained left hip) is OUT.
- Alex Ducas (G League — two-way) is OUT.
- Adam Flagler (G League —two-way) is OUT.
- Chet Holmgren (fractured right iliac wing) is OUT.
- Nikola Topic (sprained left knee) is OUT.
Clippers
- Cam Christie (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
- Trentyn Flowers (G League — two-way) is OUT.
- Kawhi Leonard (right knee injury recovery) is OUT.
- Terrance Mann (fractured left middle finger) is OUT.
- PJ Tucker (not with team) is OUT.
Series History
The Thunder is 2-0 against the Clippers so far this season (1-0 at home, 1-0 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-9.5)
OKC is the hottest team in the league right now with 12 straight wins, and the Clippers haven’t been playing too badly themselves. LA has won 5 of their last 7, but when they lose, they lose big. In their last 8 losses, they have lost by double digits 7 times with 5 of those taking place in their last 10 outings. The Thunder should win, and because of how each team has been playing—as well as LA’s trend to not just lose but lose big—I’m taking OKC to cover the spread.
Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (217.5)
When the Clippers lose, they don’t just lose big because their opponent scores a lot of points: they struggle to score points themselves. LA averages 108.8 points per game—23rd in the league—but they manage just 101.2 in losses. OKC is much more consistent, averaging 115.3 points for the season and 115.4 in just losses. This line for the point total is pretty close to where I anticipate the final scoring being, but because of the defensive capabilities of the Thunder, I’m taking the under.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 22-9 | 17-13-1 | 14-17 |
| Zack | 27-6 | 23-10 | 17-16 |
| Craig | 26-6 | 23-6-2 | 16-16 |