Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Has Tough Cover with Knicks in Town for SEGABABA

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-4.5)

Total: 222

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	vs.	Knicks
22-12 (64%)	All	19-15 (55%)
12-5 (70%) at home	Location	10-9 (52%) on the road
21-12 (63%) as favorite	Status	2-1 (66%) as underdog or pick
12-5 (70%) as home favorite	Location Status	2-1 (66%) as road underdog
0-0 (0%)	Head To Head	0-0 (0%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 15-19 (44%) against the over on the season.
• New York is 19-15 (55%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 9-8 (52%) against the over at home.
• The Knicks are 11-8 (57%) against the over at home.

Team Stats (Last Season’s Stats)

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
NYK	117.9	109.6	49.9	38.8	43.3	28.0	13.2	7.7	4.1	W9	9-1
OKC	115.4	103.2	46.7	34.5	43.7	25.8	11.7	11.9	5.9	W13	10-0

Injury Report

Thunder

• Alex Caruso (strained left hip) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Alex Ducas (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Adam Flagler (G League —two-way) is OUT.
• Chet Holmgren (fractured right iliac wing) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (sprained left knee) is OUT.

Knicks

• Jalen Brunson (right calf tightness) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Pacome Dadiet (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
• Ariel Hukporti (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
• Miles McBride (left hamstring tightness) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Kevin McCullar Jr. (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Mitchell Robinson (left ankle surgery) is OUT.

Series History

The Thunder went 2-0 against the Knicks last season (1-0 at home, 1-0 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-4.5)

OKC has won a franchise-record 13 games in a row, but New York has won 9 consecutive games in their own right. Despite the Thunder being in the second game of a back-to-back—and the Knicks having a day of rest—I think the OKC covers. Playing in front of the home crowd definitely seems to make a difference for the Thunder, and Jalen Brunson is questionable for New York. His potential absence would be a pretty big blow in a tough game like this. Top-to-bottom, I think OKC is the better team, and I think they pull away late to cover the spread.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (222)

This was a tough call. Only twice during the Thunder’s 13-game win streak has their opponent scored more than 106 points, and 6 times their opponent hasn’t broken 100 points. The Knicks have one of the top offenses in the league, and that’s because they’re so well-rounded with weapons at every position. They played pretty good defense as well. Still, with OKC coming off a game last night, I’m thinking there’s a little less defense and perhaps a few more easy buckets given up, allowing for the point total to go just over.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	23-9	18-13-1	14-18
Zack	28-6	24-10	18-16
Craig	27-6	23-7-2	16-17