Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Another Big Favorite as the Thunder Hosts the Jazz

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-17.5)

Total: 227.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	vs.	Jazz
29-14 (67%)	All	22-19 (53%)
16-5 (76%) at home	Location	14-9 (60%) on the road
28-13 (68%) as favorite	Status	22-18 (55%) as underdog or pick
16-5 (76%) as home favorite	Location Status	14-9 (60%) as road underdog
1-0 (100%)	Head To Head	0-1 (0%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 20-22-1 (47%) against the over on the season.
• Utah is 24-17 (58%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 11-10 (52%) against the over at home.
• The Jazz are 15-8 (65%) against the over on the road.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
UTA	111.4	118.2	45.6	35.8	45.4	25.0	17.7	6.8	5.0	L3	3-7
OKC	116.4	103.6	47.4	35.8	43.7	26.2	12.1	11.4	5.8	W1	8-2

Injury Report

Thunder

• Isaiah Hartenstein (strained left soleus) is OUT.
• Chet Holmgren (fractured right iliac wing) is OUT.
• Ajay Mitchell (right great toe surgery) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (left knee surgery) is OUT.
• Jalen Williams (strained right hip) is QUESTIONABLE.

Jazz

• Jordan Clarkson (left plantar fasciitis) is OUT.
• John Collins (left hip injury management) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Taylor Hendricks (fractured right fibula) is OUT.
• Johnny Juzang (fractured right hand) is OUT.
• Lauri Markannen (lower back spasms) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Micah Potter (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Brice Sensabaugh (sprained right ankle) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Cody Williams (sprained left ankle) is OUT.

Series History

The Thunder is 1-0 against the Jazz so far this season (1-0 at home, 0-0 on the road). OKC has won 7 of the last 8 meetings with the Jazz including 5 in a row at the Paycom Center.

Why the Thunder Will NOT Cover (-17.5)

Utah has lost a lot of games—the most in the Western Conference and 2nd-most in the entire league—but they’re not really getting blown out a ton. Of their 31 losses, 15 have been by single digits. 10 of their losses have been by 16 points or more, but that’s only happened once in the month of January. Considering all the players from both sides that are questionable to play—PLUS the fact that OKC has Dallas at home tomorrow in the second game of a back-to-back—I’m taking Utah to cover the spread late in the game.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (228.5)

Even if Utah scores a lot late to cover the spread like I think they will, I still expect this one to stay under the point total. OKC’s defense is too good to give up too many points to a team like Utah, and the Jazz could stay under 100 even if starters don’t play much in the fourth quarter.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	30-11	24-16-1	17-24
Zack	35-8	31-12	21-22
Craig	34-8	29-11-2	19-23