Tip-Off: 7 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Thunder (-3)
Total: 229.5
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | vs. | Blazers |
| 39-24 (61%) | All | 37-27 (57%) |
| 21-10 (67%) at home | Location | 18-15 (54%) on the road |
| 38-23 (62%) as favorite | Status | 31-23 (57%) as underdog or pick |
| 21-10 (67%) as home favorite | Location Status | 14-14 (50%) as road underdog |
| 1-2 (33%) | Head To Head | 2-1 (66%) |
Trends Against The Total
- Oklahoma City is 35-27-1 (56%) against the over on the season.
- Portland is 32-31 (50%) against the over on the season.
- The Thunder is 19-12 (61%) against the over on the road.
- The Trail Blazers are 14-19 (42%) against the over at home
Team Stats
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POR | 110.8 | 114.5 | 45.5 | 34.7 | 43.9 | 23.8 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 5.4 | L1 | 5-5 |
| OKC | 119.6 | 106.9 | 47.9 | 36.7 | 44.6 | 26.9 | 11.9 | 10.8 | 5.6 | W5 | 8-2 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Branden Carlson (G League — two-way) is PROBABLE.
- Luguentz Dort (right patellofemoral soreness) is OUT.
- Alex Ducas (G League — two-way) is OUT.
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (rest) is OUT.
- Isaiah Hartenstein (nasal fracture reinjury) is OUT.
- Chet Holmgren (right lower leg contusion) is QUESTIONABLE.
- Dillon Jones (G League — on assignment) is AVAILABLE.
- Ajay Mitchell (sprained right great toe) is OUT.
- Nikola Topic (left knee surgery) is OUT.
- Cason Wallace (right knee contusion) is OUT.
- Jalen Williams (sprained right wrist) is OUT.
Blazers
- Deni Avdija (left quad contusion) is QUESTIONABLE.
- Deandre Ayton (strained left calf) is OUT.
- Dalana Banton (personal reasons) is OUT.
- Jerami Grant (right knee tendinitis) is QUESTIONABLE.
- Mattise Thybulle (sprained right ankle) is OUT.
- Robert Williams III (sprained left knee) is OUT.
Series History
So far this season, the Thunder is 3-0 against the Blazers (1-0 at home, 2-0 on the road). OKC has won 15 straight against Portland, including 7 in a row at the Paycom Center.
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-3)
Oklahoma City is taking the opportunity to get their top guys some rest against a lesser opponent. OKC has all but locked up the top spot in the West, but Portland is still fighting for a shot at a play-in opportunity. Still, the Blazers have a handful of key guys out and a couple of others that are questionable, and as deep as the Thunder is, this could make for a fun game. I like OKC’s depth, as the second and even third units play with a lot of energy, particularly on defense, but they struggle to score at times. This will be a good opportunity for some guys to get some extra run, and so I think OKC has a good shot at winning the game anyway.
Why the Game Will Hit the Over (229.5)
This game could feature a lot of scoring, or it could be a train wreck. With Shai Gilgeous-Alexander off the floor, even the Thunder’s top guys struggle to put points on the board, but because there is no fall-back, I wouldn’t be surprised if some of the other guys—namely Aaron Wiggins and Isaiah Joe—step up for big games. As a result, I’m taking the over for this point total.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 45-16 | 37-23-1 | 26-34-1 |
| Zack | 51-12 | 44-19 | 31-32 |
| Craig | 49-12 | 43-16-2 | 29-31-1 |