Thunder Against the Spread | OKC a Massive Favorite Over Hornets Despite no JDub, Dort

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-19.5)

Total: 223

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	vs.	Hornets
45-25 (64%)	All	34-33-2 (50%)
24-11 (68%) at home	Location	16-16-1 (50%) on the road
43-24 (64%) as favorite	Status	34-25-2 (57%) as underdog
24-11 (68%) as home favorite	Location Status	16-13-1 (55%) as road underdog
0-1 (0%)	Head To Head	1-0 (100%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 38-31-1 (55%) against the over on the season.
• Charlotte is 25-44 (36%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 21-14 (60%) against the over at home.
• The Hornets are 15-18 (45%) against the over on the road.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
CHA	110.0	115.0	45.6	34.7	39.4	23.0	13.4	9.4	4.3	L1	3-7
OKC	119.6	107.1	47.9	36.6	44.7	26.6	11.8	10.5	5.7	W3	9-1

Injury Report

Thunder

• Ousmane Dieng (strained left calf) is OUT.
• Luguentz Dort (right hip soreness) is OUT.
• Isaiah Hartenstein (nasal fracture) is AVAILABLE.
• Ajay Mitchell (right great toe surgery) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (left knee surgery) is OUT.
• Cason Wallace (strained right shoulder) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Jalen Williams (strained right hip) is OUT.

Hornets

• Marcus Garrett (lower back soreness) is OUT.
• Tre Mann (disc herniation) is OUT.
• Brandon Miller (ligament repair in right wrist) is OUT.
• Josh Okogie (strained left hamstring) is OUT.
• Tidjane Salaun (sprained right ankle) is OUT.
• Grant Williams (right ACL repair) is OUT.

Series History

So far this season, the Thunder is 1-0 against the Charlotte Hornets (0-0 at home, 1-0 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-19.5)

A spread this high isn’t exactly common, but the Thunder has consistently played well against teams below .500, and the Hornets are on the brink of playoff elimination, so it makes sense that a blowout is expected. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Isaiah Hartentsein are both back in the lineup tonight after getting Wednesday’s game off, but as was evident that night against the 76ers, OKC’s depth is capable of running a pretty decent show. I’m guessing Shai drops another 30 points through three quarters, and the bench fights to cover the spread.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (223)

I’m taking the over on the point total, and it’s primarily because I think this is going to be a Thunder blowout. I do think there’s a chance OKC keeps the Hornets below 100 points, but even if that’s the case, I still see the Thunder pouring it on.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	50-17	42-24-1	30-37-1
Zack	57-13	50-20	35-35
Craig	54-14	49-17-2	33-34-1