Tip-Off: 7 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Thunder (-10)
Total: 239.5
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | vs. | Grizzlies |
| 48-25 (65%) | All | 38-33-1 (53%) |
| 25-11 (69%) at home | Location | 19-16-1 (54%) on the road |
| 46-24 (65%) as favorite | Status | 12-12-1 (50%) as underdog |
| 25-11 (69%) as home favorite | Location Status | 9-9-1 (50%) as road underdog |
| 3-0 (100%) | Head To Head | 0-3 (0%) |
Trends Against The Total
- Oklahoma City is 39-33-1 (54%) against the over on the season.
- Memphis is 43-28-1 (60%) against the over on the season.
- The Thunder is 22-14 (61%) against the over at home.
- The Grizzlies are 25-11 (69%) against the over on the road.
Team Stats
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MEM | 122.4 | 116.8 | 48.1 | 36.7 | 47.5 | 28.8 | 15.8 | 8.9 | 5.8 | W1 | 6-4 |
| OKC | 119.8 | 106.9 | 48.1 | 37.2 | 44.9 | 26.8 | 11.9 | 10.4 | 5.8 | W7 | 9-1 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Ousmane Dieng (strained left calf) is OUT.
- Alex Ducas (strained right quad) is OUT.
- Isaiah Hartenstein (nasal fracture) is AVAILABLE.
- Ajay Mitchell (right great toe surgery) is OUT.
- Nikola Topic (left knee surgery) is OUT.
- Cason Wallace (left knee contusion) is QUESTIONABLE.
- Aaron Wiggins (left Achilles tendinitis) is OUT.
- Jalen Williams (strained right hip) is QUESTIONABLE.
Grizzlies
- Marvin Bagley III (concussion protocol) is OUT.
- Brandon Clarke (PCL sprain in right knee) is OUT.
- GG Jackson (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
- Yuki Kawamura (G League — two-way) is OUT.
- Ja Morant (strained left hamstring) is OUT.
- Zyon Pullin (right patellar tendon surgery recovery) is OUT.
- Lamar Stevens (right shoulder bursitis) is QUESTIONABLE.
Series History
So far this season, the Thunder is 3-0 against the Grizzlies (1-0 at home, 2-0 on the road). OKC has won 8 in a row against Memphis, including 5 in a row at the Paycom Center.
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-10)
OKC continues to win in a convincing fashion, even though they have the top spot in the West locked up. Memphis is missing Ja Morant, and without him, the Grizzlies have struggled lately. Tonight will be the 8th game of the last 14 in which Morant will sit, and in the previous 7 without Morant, Memphis has won just twice. Of the 5 losses, the last 3 have been by double digits, and I’m expecting the Thunder to do the same, even though OKC is missing a few guys as well.
Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (239.5)
Two of the top offenses in the NBA going head-to-head typically spells a massive point total, but that has not been the case with these two teams so far this season. In 3 meetings, the total has not hit 240 points, and I definitely don’t expect it to do so tonight. I’m taking the under.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 53-17 | 43-26-1 | 31-39-1 |
| Zack | 60-13 | 52-21 | 37-36 |
| Craig | 57-14 | 50-19-2 | 35-35-1 |