Tip-Off: 7 PM CT
Location: Toyota Center (Houston, Texas)
Spread: Thunder (-7)
Total: 228.5
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | at | Rockets |
| 52-25 (67%) | All | 41-36 (53%) |
| 23-14 (62%) on the road | Location | 20-19 (51%) at home |
| 50-24 (67%) as favorite | Status | 24-15-2 (61%) as underdog |
| 21-13 (61%) as road favorite | Location Status | 3-1 (75%) as home underdog |
| 2-2 (50%) | Head To Head | 2-2 (50%) |
Trends Against The Total
- Oklahoma City is 41-35-1 (53%) against the over on the season.
- Houston is 41-35-1 (53%) against the over on the season.
- The Thunder is 17-19-1 (47%) against the over at home.
- The Rockets are 18-20-1 (47%) against the over on the road.
Team Stats
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKC | 120.4 | 107.0 | 48.1 | 37.5 | 44.9 | 27.0 | 11.8 | 10.4 | 5.8 | W11 | 10-0 |
| HOU | 114.3 | 109.0 | 45.3 | 35.0 | 48.8 | 23.2 | 13.8 | 8.4 | 5.0 | W1 | 8-2 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Ousmane Dieng (strained left calf) is OUT.
- Alex Ducas (strained right quad) is OUT.
- Ajay Mitchell (right great toe surgery) is OUT.
- Nikola Topic (left knee surgery) is OUT.
- Jaylin Williams (sprained left ankle) is QUESTIONABLE.
Rockets
- Dillon Brooks (league suspension) is OUT.
Series History
So far this season, the Thunder is 3-1 against the Pistons (2-0 at home, 0-1 on the road, 1-0 at neutral location).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-7)
OKC is a perfect 11-0 against the spread during its current 11-game winning streak. The Thunder are not just beating teams; they’re doing it in a convincing manner. The Rockets have played well lately, winning 13 of their last 15 games, but not a single win has come against a top-6 team in either conference, and the two losses were against the Denver Nuggets and the Los Angeles Lakers. While this should be a close game, I won’t be surprised if the Thunder pulls away late like they have been so good at doing, thus covering the spread.
Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (228.5)
Both the Thunder and the Rockets have quality offenses and formidable defenses. While this could be a high-scoring game—the point total was 265 when these two teams met a month ago—I’m expecting the defense to be turned up as the end of the regular season is right around the corner.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 57-17 | 46-27-1 | 34-40-1 |
| Zack | 64-13 | 55-22 | 40-37 |
| Craig | 61-14 | 54-19-2 | 36-38-1 |