Tip-Off: 7:30 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
Total: 214.5
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | vs. | Timberwolves |
| 61-34 (64%) | All | 46-46-1 (50%) |
| 35-14 (71%) at home | Location | 25-22 (53%) on the road |
| 59-33 (64%) as favorite | Status | 14-9 (60%) as underdog |
| 35-14 (71%) as home favorite | Location Status | 11-7 (61%) as road underdog |
| 2-3 (40%) | Head To Head | 3-2 (60%) |
Trends Against The Total
- Oklahoma City is 50-44-1 (53%) against the over on the season.
- Minnesota is 50-43 (53%) against the over on the season.
- The Thunder is 28-21 (57%) against the over at home.
- The Timberwolves are 21-26 (44%) against the over on the road.
Team Stats (Playoffs)
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 106.4 | 102.3 | 45.5 | 34.3 | 42.0 | 24.3 | 15.2 | 7.8 | 4.7 | L1 | 7-3 |
| OKC | 116.8 | 102.8 | 45.7 | 32.9 | 46.2 | 25.7 | 11.3 | 10.8 | 5.8 | W2 | 7-3 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Nikola Topic (left knee surgery) is OUT.
Timberwolves
- NONE
Series History
OKC leads Minnesota 1-0 in the Western Conference Finals (1-0 at home, 0-0 on the road). The Thunder went 2-2 against the Nuggets in the regular season (1-1 at home, 1-1 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will NOT Cover (-7.5)
I expected the Timberwolves to cover the spread in Game 1, but OKC came out in dominant fashion and took care of those ideas early in the second half. Minnesota missed a ton of open threes—particularly from their solid bench trio of Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, and Nickeil Alexander-Walker—so it makes sense that they’ll bounce back a little bit tonight. I fully anticipate another OKC win following the announcement of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s MVP announcement, but the Timberwolves will just barely cover the spread.
Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (215.5)
OKC is on a roll defensively, and it’s not going to stop all of a sudden tonight. Minnesota will hit some of the shots they missed in Game 1, but the Thunder isn’t going to all of a sudden stop doing what they do. Youth aside, the Thunder is focused, and they’re not going to let up just because they have a 1-0 lead. This is going to be another defensive game, which will keep the point total low.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 71-21 | 58-33-1 | 43-49-1 |
| Zack | 77-18 | 64-31 | 49-46 |
| Craig | 74-19 | 64-27-2 | 48-44-1 |