After the absolute disaster that was last week’s picks, we’re coming into Week 7 humbled… but not hopeless. Let’s just call it what it was — we were terrible. The kind of terrible that reminds everyone we’ve never claimed to be experts, just fans with keyboards and too much confidence. Shoutout to Zack for being the only one who didn’t completely tank his record — the rest of us looked like we were picking names out of a hat. Still, that’s what makes Friday Locks what it is: part football analysis, part comedy show, and 100% chaos.
This week, we’re back at it with another round of questionable confidence and bold predictions. Caleb’s rolling with North Texas to stay hot against USF and riding Michigan to a win over USC, while Craig’s leaning on the big boys — Alabama, Georgia, and Iowa State — to bounce back and cover on the road. Matt’s betting on South Florida’s resume over North Texas’ soft schedule, and he’s trusting Ohio State’s defense to keep dominating. Meanwhile, Zack’s looking to build on his winning week with Tennessee, Iowa State, and Georgia. Will Week 7 be our redemption tour, or just another week of proof that we should never be trusted with spreads? Stay tuned to find out — the laughs (and bad beats) are guaranteed.
2025 Season Results
| Name | Last Week | Overall |
| Craig | 0-3 | 10-10-1 |
| Zack | 2-1 | 10-10-1 |
| Caleb | 0-3 | 8-13 |
| Matt | 0-3 | 6-15 |
Caleb
North Texas (-1.5) vs USF – North Texas has been off to a hot start and looks to keep that rolling against South Florida. Drew Mestemaker and his crew look to make a statement to the college football world that they should be the team to watch for coming out of the group of 5 schools.
Ole Miss (-31.5) vs Washington State – Ole Miss comes into this game looking like one of the best teams in the country while Washington State has looked like one of the worst. I expect Ole Miss to keep the ball rolling and roll right over the Cougars.
Michigan (+2.5) vs USC – Michigan has looked really solid this season, with their only loss coming on the road at Oklahoma. USC has struggled against mobile QBs in the past and I don’t expect this week to be any different.
Craig
Alabama (-3) at Missouri – This is going to be a very competitive matchup. I’m picking Alabama to cover this spread because they are the more proven team. Missouri is undefeated, but they haven’t played anyone.
Iowa State (-2) at Colorado – The Cyclones lost their first game of the season last week to Cincinnati. I think they’ll bounce back in a big way against a not so good Colorado team.
Georgia (-3.5) at Auburn – Georgia is simply the better team in this matchup. Winning at Auburn isn’t easy, but the Bulldogs will get it done this weekend.
Matt
South Florida (+2.5) at North Texas – North Texas has been an offensive juggernaut at home, but their schedule strength has been weak (132nd nationally). South Florida has a much more impressive resume with wins over Florida and Boise State, and their dual-threat quarterback Byrum Brown is difficult to contain.
Ohio State (-14.5) at Illinois – The Buckeyes’ defense is statistically one of the best in the country, allowing an astonishing 5.0 points per game through the first five contests. While Illinois has a good-to-great offense led by QB Luke Altmyer, they have not seen a defense of this caliber.
Alabama (-2.5) at Missouri – The Crimson Tide are getting excellent quarterback play from Ty Simpson, whose passing attack is significantly improved since the beginning of the season. Despite a rough run defense at times, Alabama’s secondary is strong. The Tide roll to a win here, covering the spread in the process.
Zack
Iowa State (-2) at Colorado – The Cyclones are coming off their first loss of the season—a 38-30 decision at Cincinnati—and I don’t see them slipping again, even in a tough environment like Boulder. Don’t be surprised if this is a double-digit win for Matt Campbell’s crew.
Arkansas at Tennessee (-12) – I’m not sure what I’m missing here, which typically means I should look harder, but this seems like an easy cover for the Vols. The Razorbacks are riding a 3-game losing streak, including a butt-kicking last week at home against Notre Dame. I don’t see them all of a sudden playing significantly better on the road against Tennessee.
Georgia (-3.5) at Auburn – The Tigers have lost back-to-back close games on the road against ranked opponents, and now they host Georgia. All of this information explains the closer spread, but the Bulldogs are still in contention for an SEC Championship or at least a playoff spot, so I think they cover on the road against Auburn.
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