Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Heads into New Orleans as a Monster Favorite

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Smoothie King Center (New Orleans, Louisiana)

Spread: Thunder (-17.5)

Total: 226.5

Trends Against The Spread

ThunderatPelicans
8-6 (57%)All6-6 (50%)
4-4 (50%) on the roadLocation3-2 (60%) at home
8-6 (57%) as favoriteStatus5-6 (45%) as underdog
4-4 (50%) as road favoriteLocation Status2-2 (50%) as home underdog
1-0 (100%)Head To Head0-1 (0%)
  • Oklahoma City is 7-7 (50%) against the over on the season.
  • New Orleans is 6-6 (50%) against the over on the season.
  • The Thunder is 3-5 (37%) against the over on the road.
  • The Pelicans are 2-3 (40%) against the over at home.

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%3P%REBASTTOVSTLBLKSTRKL10
OKC121.6106.247.834.447.225.512.410.75.2W59-1
NOP108.4121.343.834.741.622.815.58.92.8L52-8

Injury Report

Thunder

  • Alex Caruso (right hand soreness) is QUESTIONABLE.
  • Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
  • Nikola Topic (surgical recovery) is OUT.
  • Aaron Wiggins (strained left adductor) is OUT.
  • Jalen Williams (right wrist surgical recovery) is OUT.
  • Kenrich Williams (left knee surgical recovery) is OUT.

Pelicans

  • Trey Alexander (G League — two-way) is OUT.
  • Hunter Dickinson (G League — two-way) is OUT.
  • Dejounte Murray (ruptured Right Achilles) is OUT.
  • Jordan Poole (strained left quad) is OUT.
  • Zion Williams (strained left hamstring) is OUT.

Series History

OKC is 1-0 against New Orleans so far this season (1-0 at home, 0-0 on the road) and has won 7 straight against the Pelicans, as well as 5 consecutive wins at the Smoothie King Center.

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-17.5)

In the first meeting between these two teams a couple of weeks ago, OKC absolutely dominated, winning by 29 points, in one of those games where Shai Gilgeous-Alexander didn’t even play in the fourth quarter. This time, Zion Williamson is out with a strained hamstring, so I don’t expect it to go much better for New Orleans. Also, the Pelicans are playing in the second game of a back-to-back, while OKC is coming off a day of rest. Give me another blowout win for the Thunder.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (226.5)

OKC will likely put on a defensive clinic, holding the Pelicans below their league-low season average of 108.4 points per game, but I think the Thunder wins by enough either way to cover the point total and hit the over. The Thunder has scoring talent all over, and the Pelicans are not a great defensive team at any level.

Staff Picks

On the Season

NameMoneylineSpreadOver/Under
Matt12-26-84-10
Zack13-17-77-7
Craig13-16-84-10

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