Tip-Off: 7 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Thunder (-16)
Total: 226.5
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | vs. | Pacers |
| 23-22 (51%) | All | 22-23 (48%) |
| 12-11 (52%) at home | Location | 8-13 (38%) on the road |
| 23-22 (51%) as favorite | Status | 19-19 (50%) as underdog |
| 12-11 (52%) as home favorite | Location Status | 8-12 (40%) as road underdog |
| 0-1 (0%) | Head To Head | 1-0 (100%) |
Trends Against The Total
- Oklahoma City is 24-21 (53%) against the over on the season.
- Indiana is 16-29 (35%) against the over on the season.
- The Thunder is 12-11 (52%) against the over at home.
- The Pacers are 6-15 (28%) against the over on the road.
Team Stats
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IND | 109.9 | 118.3 | 44.2 | 34.0 | 42.8 | 25.2 | 14.4 | 7.4 | 5.0 | L3 | 4-6 |
| OKC | 121.4 | 107.8 | 49.3 | 36.3 | 43.8 | 25.7 | 12.2 | 10.2 | 5.8 | W2 | 7-3 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Alex Caruso (strained right adductor) is OUT
- Isaiah Hartenstein (strained right soleus) is OUT.
- Ajay Mitchell (strained abdominal) is OUT.
- Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
- Nikola Topic (surgical recovery) is OUT.
- Aaron Wiggins (right groin soreness) is OUT.
- Jalen Williams (strained right hamstring) is OUT.
- Jaylin Williams (left glut contusion) is AVAILABLE.
Pacers
- Tyrese Haliburton (torn right Achilles tendon) is OUT.
- Quenton Jackson (sprained right ankle) is QUESTIONABLE.
- Bennedict Mathurin (sprained right thumb) is OUT.
- Taelon Peter (G League — two-way) is OUT.
- Ethan Thompson (G League — two-way) is PROBABLE.
- Obi Toppin (stress fracture in right foot) is OUT.
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-16)
OKC has the highest-scoring offense and the lowest-scoring defense in the NBA, while the Pacers have one of the worst scoring offenses and a below-average defense. Last year’s NBA Finals matchup and even the close meeting earlier this season do not matter. The Thunder should put this one away early, regardless of how injured they are, and cruise to another easy win.
Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (226.5)
The Pacers struggle to score as is, and the Thunder defense has held opponents to 104 points or fewer in 4 of their last 5 games. There’s a good chance OKC holds Indiana to under 100 points, and even though I anticipate a blowout for the Thunder, I don’t see this one going over the point total.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 37-8 | 21-24 | 20-25 |
| Zack | 37-8 | 24-21 | 22-23 |
| Craig | 37-8 | 16-28-1 | 16-29 |