Tip-Off: 7 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)
Total: 233.5
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | vs. | Pelicans |
| 23-24 (48%) | All | 26-22 (54%) |
| 12-13 (48%) at home | Location | 11-11 (50%) on the road |
| 23-24 (48%) as favorite | Status | 22-22 (50%) as underdog |
| 12-13 (48%) as home favorite | Location Status | 10-11 (47%) as road underdog |
| 1-1 (50%) | Head To Head | 1-1 (50%) |
Trends Against The Total
- Oklahoma City is 25-22 (53%) against the over on the season.
- New Orleans is 25-23 (52%) against the over on the season.
- The Thunder is 13-12 (52%) against the over at home.
- The Pelicans are 10-12 (45%) against the over on the road.
Team Stats
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOP | 114.8 | 121.5 | 46.3 | 33.9 | 43.8 | 24.8 | 14.5 | 8.9 | 4.5 | W2 | 4-6 |
| OKC | 120.8 | 107.9 | 49.2 | 35.9 | 43.6 | 25.4 | 12.1 | 9.9 | 5.9 | L2 | 7-3 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Alex Caruso (strained right adductor) is OUT
- Isaiah Hartenstein (strained right soleus) is OUT.
- Ajay Mitchell (strained abdominal) is OUT.
- Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
- Nikola Topic (surgical recovery) is OUT.
- Cason Wallace (left hip soreness) is OUT.
- Jalen Williams (strained right hamstring) is OUT.
Pelicans
- Trey Alexander (G League — two-way) is OUT.
- Hunter Dickinson (G League — two-way) is OUT.
- Dejounte Murray (ruptured right Achilles) is OUT.
Why the Thunder Will NOT Cover (-14.5)
Perhaps I’m overreacting to the consecutive home losses for the first time in years, but I don’t feel comfortable with the Thunder covering against the Pelicans at all. While I would basically bet the house that OKC wins, this line seems a little outrageous, even against the worst record in the Western Conference. I would love to be wrong about this, but until the Thunder is at least somewhere near full strength, I have a hard time seeing them blow out too many teams.
Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (233.5)
As bad as New Orleans is on defense, OKC has struggled on offense lately. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the only true constant, and it’s difficult for him to carry the load when he’s seeing double and triple teams, and no one else can seem to knock down an open shot. As good as SGA is at penetrating the paint and kicking to open shooters, it doesn’t really matter if the team can’t finish possessions with points. I think the Thunder plays good enough defense to win this one convincingly, but I don’t think the point total goes anywhere near going over.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 37-10 | 22-25 | 20-27 |
| Zack | 37-10 | 24-23 | 23-24 |
| Craig | 37-10 | 16-30-1 | 17-30 |