Thunder Against the Spread | With SGA Out, OKC is an Underdog in San Antonio for the First Time All Season

Tip-Off: 8:30 PM CT

Location: Frost Bank Center (San Antonio, Texas)

Spread: Thunder (+9.5)

Total: 217.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	vs.	Spurs
25-26 (49%)	All	25-24-1 (51%)
12-12 (50%) on the road	Location	12-10-1 (54%) on the road
25-26 (49%) as favorite	Status	12-6 (66%) as underdog
12-12 (50%) as road favorite	Location Status	3-0 100%) as road underdog
1-3 (25%)	Head To Head	3-1 (75%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 27-24 (52%) against the over on the season.
• San Antonio is 18-32 (36%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 14-10 (58%) against the over on the road.
• The Spurs are 8-15 (34%) against the over at home.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
OKC	120.5	107.7	49.0	35.9	43.7	25.6	12.3	9.9	5.8	W2	6-4
SAS	116.9	111.9	47.3	34.6	46.1	26.0	13.7	7.7	4.9	W1	6-4

Injury Report

Thunder

• Alex Caruso (right adductor injury management) is OUT.
• Luguentz Dort (right patellofemoral joint inflammation) is OUT.
• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (strained abdominal) is OUT.
• Isaiah Hartenstein (corneal abrasion in right eye) is OUT.
• Chet Holmgren (lower back spasms) is OUT.
• Ajay Mitchell (strained abdominal) is OUT.
• Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (surgical recovery) is OUT.
• Jalen Williams (strained right hamstring) is OUT.

Spurs

• Stephon Castle (left adductor tightness) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Dylan Harper (right ankle soreness) is QUESTIONABLE.
• David Jones Garcia (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Kelly Olynyk (left foot soreness) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Jeremy Sochan (strained left quad) is OUT.
• Lindy Waters III (left knee hyperextension) is OUT.

Why the Thunder Will NOT Cover (+9.5)

Both teams want this game. It doesn’t matter that we’re basically a week away from the All-Star Break. It doesn’t matter that teams have had some sour losses lately. There should be no cruising tonight. Despite inconsistent play from both teams lately, I think OKC has played better in the last few days, especially now that guys are starting to come off the injury report. However, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is listed as out with an abdominal strain that will keep him sidelined until at least after the All-Star Break, so I have a hard time seeing the Thunder covering without him.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (217.5)

The Thunder and the Spurs have two very similar defenses. Despite their ability to limit opposing teams, I think this one creeps just over the total. OKC’s defense should be able to slow the Spurs a bit, even with SGA out, and the Thunder’s role players have been shooting the ball pretty well lately.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	39-12	23-28	24-27
Zack	40-11	26-25	26-25
Craig	40-11	17-33-1	20-31