Tip-Off: 12 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Thunder (+4)
Total: 226.5
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | vs. | Cavaliers |
| 28-29 (48%) | All | 24-33 (42%) |
| 14-16 (44%) at home | Location | 13-14 (48%) on the road |
| 0-1 (0%) as underdog | Status | 17-28 (37%) as favorite |
| 0-0 (0%) as home underdog | Location Status | 6-11 (35%) as road favorite |
| 1-0 (100%) | Head To Head | 0-1 (0%) |
Trends Against The Total
- Oklahoma City is 31-26 (54%) against the over on the season.
- Cleveland is 27-30 (47%) against the over on the season.
- The Thunder is 14-16 (46%) against the over at home.
- The Cavs are 15-12 (55%) against the over on the road.
Team Stats
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 119.8 | 115.3 | 47.7 | 35.9 | 44.7 | 28.5 | 14.4 | 9.0 | 5.2 | W7 | 9-1 |
| OKC | 119.4 | 107.6 | 48.6 | 36.2 | 43.7 | 25.4 | 12.6 | 9.8 | 5.7 | W1 | 6-4 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Alex Caruso (sprained left ankle) is OUT.
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (strained abdominal) is OUT.
- Ajay Mitchell (strained abdominal) is OUT.
- Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
- Jalen Williams (strained right hamstring) is OUT.
Cavaliers
- Tristen Enaruna (G League — two-way) is OUT.
- Riley Minix (G League — two-way) is OUT.
- Max Strus (left foot surgery recovery – Jones fracture) is OUT.
Why the Thunder Will NOT Cover (+4)
OKC hasn’t been a home underdog in the last two seasons, and for good reason. The only reason they are viewed as such today is because of injuries. Cleveland is a solid team, but they are almost completely healthy, whereas OKC is still without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, and Ajay Mitchell. While the Thunder can definitely pick up the win today by locking in on defense, I’m thinking the lack of scoring is what’s going to be their downfall, so I have a hard time not picking Cleveland.
Why the Game Will Hit the Over (226.5)
Because of who is out for the Thunder, I just don’t see them suddenly being able to score a ton of points. I’m sure some shots could fall, and the Cavs have a middle-of-the-road defense, but unless OKC can force some turnovers and find some scoring in transition, this should be a little lower scoring than you may expect with two of the league’s top scoring teams.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 44-12 | 26-30 | 25-31 |
| Zack | 44-13 | 29-28 | 29-28 |
| Craig | 43-13 | 19-36-1 | 22-34 |