Tip-Off: 7:00 PM CT
Location: Target Center (Minneapolis, Minnesota)
Spread: Timberwolves (-4)
Thunder/Timberwolvess Trends Against The Spread
|23-19 (534%)||17-24-1 (41%)|
|14-8 (63%) on the road||8-10-1 (44%) at home|
|21-19 (52%) as an underdog or pick||1-2 (33%) as a favorite|
|13-8 (61%) as a road underdog||1-2 (33%) as a home underdog|
|Head To Head|
|1-1 (50%)||1-1 (50%)|
Thunder/Rockets Trends Against The Total
OKC is 20-21-1 against the over this season.
Minnesota is 22-20 against the over this season.
The Timberwolves are hitting the over 47% of the time at home.
The Thunder are hitting the over 38% of the time on the road.
Malik Beasley led the Timberwolves to a win over Oklahoma City on February 5th with a 6-for-12 performance from three-point range and 24 total points. Al Horford led the Thunder with 26 points that night.
In the second matchup between the two Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led all scorers with 31 points to help Oklahoma City edge out a close victory on the very next day. Youngster Naz Reid paced Minnesota 29 points in that game.
Game 1 | Timberwolves 106 – Thunder 103
Game 2 | Thunder 120 – Timberwolves 118
Why The Thunder Will Cover (+4)
I feel the constant need to post a reminder of how difficult it is to handicap this Oklahoma City team. Due to the “tank factor” you really never know which lineup we’ll see and how many minutes of playing time the starters will receive. That said, this should be an OKC cover tonight. Minnesota has only been a favorite three times this season and they’re 1-2 in those games against the spread. Overall the Timberwolves are 8-10-1 against the spread at home and when the line is between (-2 to -5) they are 0-1.
The Thunder have been a better road team all season and are 13-8 against the spread on the road. The Thunder are 7-4 against the spread this season when they’ve been a 4-to-7 point underdog.
Why The Game Won’t Hit The Over (230.5)
This is going to be a close one and really could go either way. It’s one of those nights where I’d stay away from it but because I have to pick for this feature I’m going with the over. The Thunder have been terrible against the over this season (48%) but Minnesota is pretty solid by covering 52% of the time. It’s the second game of a back-to-back for OKC and they’re hitting the over 77% of the time in this situation. Minnesota is also on the second game of back-to-back and they’re hitting the over 56% of the time in this situation. That’s enough to sway me towards the over.
On The Season
I’m starting to get a little groove against the spread but at the same time I’m starting to struggle against the over/under.
Against the Spread: 5-13 Last Pick: OKC (-1) at Houston
Over/Under: 12-6 Last Pick: OKC/Houston over (218)
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