Tip-Off: 6:00 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (OKC)
Spread: Spurs (-4)
Spurs/Thunder Trends Against The Spread
|6-3 (66%)||4-4 (50%)|
|4-1 (80%) on the road||2-1 (66%) at home|
|2-1 (66%) as a favorite||4-4 (50%) as an underdog or pick|
|1-0 as a road favorite (100%)||2-1 (20%) as a home underdog|
|Head To Head|
|0-0 (0%)||0-0 (0%)|
Spurs/Thunder Trends Against The Total
OKC is hitting the over just 25% of the time this season.
The Spurs are hitting the over 55% of the time this season.
The Thunder are 2-1 against the over at home.
The Spurs are 1-4 against the over on the road.
Dejounte Murray helped San Antonio pick up its third win of the season on Friday night with a 20-point performance against Orlando. On the season he’s averaging 18.4 points and 8.4 assists per game. Center Jakob Poeltl is leading the Spurs in shooting percentage at 64.8% from the floor.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led Oklahoma City to its first road win of the season on Thursday night with a 28-point/6 assist performance against the Lakers. On the season he’s averaging 23.5 points per game while shooting 45.8% from the floor. Rookie Josh Giddy is dishing out an average of 6.1 assists per game.
First meeting of the season.
Why The Thunder Will Cover (+4)
Fresh off its first home win of the season, OKC comes home to face a San Antonio team that has had it’s share of struggles this season as well. Despite a losing record, the Spurs have been very good against the spread on the road, including a 1-0 record as a road favorite. That said, the Thunder are coving 66% of the time as a home dog and are 4-4 overall as an underdog this season.
This game comes down to splits though. OKC’s offensive struggles seem to be amplified on the road but the Thunder have been much better at home. When playing at the Paycom Center the Thunder are averaging 108 points per game compared to just 92 points per game on the road. That’s a huge difference! When you consider that the Spurs are allowing opponents to score an average of nearly 104 points per game on the road, OKC should be within striking distance in the final seconds of this one.
Why The Game Will Hit The Over (211)
I believe this may be the first time I’ve picked the Thunder to hit the over this season and here’s why. I’ve already mentioned Oklahoma City’s scoring spike when playing at home and it’s also worth noting that they hit the over 66% of the time at home as well. San Antonio is hitting the over in 55% of its games this season and also has the same percentage when the point total is greater than 205.
On The Season
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