Thunder Against the Spread | History Shows A Close Game in Toronto

Tip-Off: 6:30 PM CT

Location: Scotiabank Arena (Toronto, Ontario, Canada)

Spread: Toronto Raptors (-7)

Total: 208

Thunder/Pistons Trends Against The Spread

14-9 (60%) Overall10-14 (41%) Overall
7-5 (58%) on the road3-9 (25%) at home
13-8 (61%) as an underdog2-5 (28%) as a favorite
Location Status
7-5 (58%) as a road underdog2-5 (28%) as a home favorite
Head To Head
0-0 (0%)0-0 (0%)

Thunder/Raptors Trends Against The Total

  • OKC is hitting the over 39% of the time this season.
  • The Raptors are hitting the over 50% of the time this season.
  • The Thunder are 4-8 against the over on the road.
  • Toronto is 5-7 against the over at home.

Key Players

The Raptors have plenty of veteran talent coupled with some youth, but the guy likely to play the most important role for tonight is Pascal Siakam. After missing 11 of the first 13 games of the season due to recovering from a shoulder injury, Siakam has settled in nicely over the last 11 games. In 33.4 minutes per game so far this season, he is averaging 19.1 points, 7.1 rebounds, and 3.7 assists. He is coming off his best game of the season so far, and his athletic abilities make him a threat from just about anywhere on the court. Thunder forward Darius Bazley has struggled at times on defense so far this season, so that should make for a fun matchup.

The Thunder were glad to have Shai Gilgeous-Alexander back in the lineup on Monday after returning from concussion protocol. Averaging 21.7 points, 4.9 assists, and 4.9 rebounds in 35.1 minutes per game so far this season, Shai leads the Thunder in a number of ways. He is the clear motor for the offense, and when he gets it going, there’s no telling what this team is capable of. In his return on Monday, SGA put up an impressive performance of 30 points and a career-high 13 assists.

Series History

Since arriving in Oklahoma City in 2008, the Thunder is 14-10 against the Raptors in the regular season (7-7 at home, 7-3 on the road). This is the first meeting of the season between the Thunder and the Raptors.

Why the Thunder Will Cover (+7)

Oklahoma City has covered the spread as an underdog consistently overall and on the road, but on top of that, history tells us this game will be close. In the last 4 meetings between the Thunder and the Raptors at Scotiabank Arena, the game has been decided by no more than 7 points. Based on that, the Thunder’s ability to cover the spread, and the Raptors’ struggles to cover at home, I think OKC will keep this one close.

Staff Picks

Why the Game Won’t Hit the Over (208)

Both teams have struggled to hit the over, and while the Raptors have done so more times than not (12-11 on the season), they are just 5-6 on the road. Couple that with the Thunder’s 7-14 overall record, including 2-8 on the road, and I don’t see it happening. OKC has the lowest scoring offense in the NBA at 98.8 points per game, but that drops all the way down to 95.4 on the road. Meanwhile, the Raptors are just 23rd in the league with 104.8 points per game. Surprisingly, Toronto’s average gets even worse when they play at home, scoring just 102.2 points per outing. Put those numbers together, and I’m just not seeing 208 combined points between these two teams.

On the Season


Leave a Reply