Thunder Against the Spread | Take the Thunder in a Close One

Tip-Off: 9:00 PM CT

Location: Golden 1 Center (Sacramento, California)

Spread: Kings (-5)

Total: 224

Pelicans/Thunder Trends Against The Spread

21-11 (65%) Overall14-20 (41%) Overall
10-5 (66%) on the road7-11 (38%) at home
20-10 (66%) as an underdog or pick5-5 (50%) as a favorite
Location Status
8-3 (72%) as a road underdog3-3 (50%) as a home favorite
Head To Head
1-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)

Thunder/Kings Trends Against The Total

  • OKC is hitting the over 40% of the time this season.
  • The Kings are hitting the over 50% of the time this season.
  • The Thunder are 6-9 against the over on the road.
  • Sacramento is 7-11 against the over at home.

Team Stats

OKC100.1107.741.546.320.54.97.2W 16-4
SAC109.9114.445.244.522.44.97.4L 33-7

Key Players

In the first matchup between these two teams, the Kings had 5 different players score in double figures. De’Aaron Fox didn’t play his best game, shooting the ball just 5-of-14 from the field, but he did score 16 points and tack on 5 assists. For the season, Fox averages 21 points 45.5% shooting from the floor, and he’s a creator for teammates with 5 assists per game.

For the Thunder, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been playing extremely well lately…so well, in fact, that he was just named as the Western Conference’s Player of the Week. In the first meeting with the Kings, SGA poured in 22 points, but he made just 9-of-24 of his shots. He will have to have a much more efficient game tonight.

Series History

Game 1 | OKC 105 – SAC 103

Why the Thunder Will Cover (+5)

This one seems almost too easy for me. OKC has won 4 of the last 5, and Sacramento has lost 4 of the last 5. While it is likely time for something to give one way or the other, I’m just not seeing it tonight. Despite the Thunder missing several key players to health and safety protocols (Josh Giddey, Darius Bazley, Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, etc.), the best player in the matchup is active: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.

Between Shai, Luguentz Dort, and the rest of the gang, I feel pretty confident that the Thunder can score enough points while also holding the Kings off enough to come away with the win.

Staff Picks

Why the Game Won’t Hit the Over (224)

Is this real life? The Kings have a decent offense, averaging almost 110 points per game, but the Thunder is just now averaging triple digits. OKC’s defense isn’t bad at all, either, and despite Sacramento giving up a whopping 114.4 points per game, I just don’t see this game combining for 224 points.

On the Season


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