Thunder Against the Spread | Same Story, Different Day with the Wolves

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Wolves (-5.5)

Total: 215

Wolves/Thunder Trends Against The Spread

20-18 (52%) Overall24-13 (64%) Overall
11-6 (64%) on the road13-6 (68%) at home
6-8 (42%) as favorite23-12 (65%) as underdog or pick
Location Status
1-1 (50%) as road favorite12-5 (70%) as home underdog
Head To Head

Wolves/Thunder Trends Against The Total

  • OKC is hitting the over 37% of the time this season.
  • The Wolves are hitting the over 50% of the time this season.
  • The Thunder are 7-12 against the over at home.
  • Minnesota is 12-5 against the over on the road.

Team Stats

MIN108.1108.443.245.623.85.68.7W 25-5
OKC99.5106.741.346.320.44.87.3L 25-5

Key Players

Karl-Anthony Towns has punished the Thunder over the years, and he had a pretty successful night on Wednesday, despite not shooting his best. Towns made just 6 of his 14 attempts, but he still tallied 17 points, 16 rebounds, 3 assists, and a couple of blocks. Slowing him down should be a heavy focus for OKC’s defense.

Since returning from a brief stint in health and safety protocols, Josh Giddey has been on an absolute tear. He became the youngest player in NBA history to record a triple-double on Sunday against the Mavericks, he followed that up with a solid performance on Wednesday in Minnesota. Against the Wolves, Giddey put up 14 points, 15 rebounds, and 6 assists.

Series History

In their first meeting of the season, the Timberwolves defeated the Thunder 98-90 in Minnesota on Wednesday.

Why the Thunder Will Cover

This game should look different in a lot of ways from Wednesday’s matchup, but the outcome will be very similar. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is going to have a better shooting night, Luguentz Dort is back in the starting lineup, and not only do I think OKC covers the spread, but I think they win the game.

Staff Picks

Why the Game Won’t Hit the Over (215)

While the journey may look different from Wednesday, the destination is going to be about the same. I expect both teams to shoot somewhat better, but not enough to make up for the points lost that they would need to cover to hit the over. The Thunder simply does not score a lot of points, and while I think they break triple digits tonight, I don’t see Minnesota putting up a ton of scoring either.

On the Season


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