Tip-Off: 6 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Nuggets (-7)
Nuggets/Thunder Trends Against The Spread
|16-21 (43%) Overall||24-14 (63%) Overall|
|9-12 (42%) on the road||13-7 (65%) at home|
|8-10 (44%) as favorite||23-13 (63%) as underdog or pick|
|3-4 (42%) as road favorite||12-6 (66%) as home underdog|
|Head To Head|
Nuggets/Thunder Trends Against The Total
- OKC is hitting the over 39% of the time this season.
- The Nuggets are hitting the over 51% of the time this season.
- The Thunder are 8-12 against the over at home.
- Denver is 12-9 against the over on the road.
Nikola Jokic hasn’t really been in this year’s MVP conversation, and the only real reason is probably because of Denver’s record. Injury and covid protocols have been a major hurdle for the Nuggets, but Jokic is having a similar if not better season than he did last year when he won the MVP. In 32.7 minutes per game this season, he’s averaging 26.0 points, 14.1 rebounds, 7.0 assists, and 1.4 steals.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is obviously the Thunder’s best player, but he hasn’t been playing up to his potential. if OKC is going to have a chance, he’s going to have to step up and do the things that he’s capable of doing.
In their first meeting of the season, the Thunder defeated the Nuggets 108-94 in Oklahoma City.
Why the Thunder Will Not Cover
Based on how OKC has played lately, I have very little faith that they can cover a single-digit spread right now. Emotions aside, 7 points seems like a decent enough line to go either way, but again, I just don’t have the faith to take the Thunder in this one after getting blown out by 30 just a couple of days ago.
Why the Game Won’t Hit the Over (215)
Two of the lower scoring offenses in the league meet tonight, and they’re going to somehow break a 215 total? Not a chance. Despite the Thunder’s lackluster defensive performance on Friday against the Timberwolves, I think they do a better job tonight, and as a result, we should see a much lower scoring total.
On the Season