Tip-Off: 7 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Heat (-2.5)
Total: 223
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | vs. | Heat |
| All | ||
| 16-11 (59%) | 9-18-1 (33%) | |
| Location | ||
| 6-5 (54%) at home | 6-7 (46%) on the road | |
| Status | ||
| 14-7 (66%) as underdog or pick | 5-13-1 (27%) as favorite | |
| Location Status | ||
| 4-3 (57%) as home underdog | 2-3 (40%) as road favorite | |
| Head To Head | ||
| 0-0 (0%) | 0-0 (0%) |
Trends Against The Total
- OKC has hit the over 61% of the time this season.
- The Heat have hit the over 51% of the time this season.
- The Thunder is 8-2-1 against the over at home this season.
- Miami is 4-8-1 against the over on the road this season.
Team Stats
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKC | 115.8 | 117.7 | 46.1 | 33.9 | 44.6 | 24.1 | 14.2 | 8.0 | 5.6 | L3 | 4-6 |
| MIA | 107.9 | 109.3 | 45.0 | 33.7 | 41.3 | 23.8 | 14.0 | 7.6 | 3.2 | W1 | 6-4 |
Series History
The Thunder went 0-2 against the Heat last season (0-1 at home, 0-1 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (+2.5)
After a long road trip, the Thunder is finally back in OKC, and I think the home crowd is going to play a part in this one. The Heat are without Jimmy Butler, and Miami doesn’t have a defender that can slow down Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. I’m taking OKC to win this one.
Staff Picks
Why the Game Will Hit the Over (223)
The Thunder tends to score a lot of points and give up a lot of points while Miami has the lowest-scoring offense and one of the best defenses in the league. Still, with no Jimmy Butler, I don’t think the Heat are going to easily slow down SGA. OKC has hit the over 80% of the time at home, so I feel comfortable with this one going over the point total.
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 14-12 | 16-10 | 11-15 |
| Zack | 17-10 | 18-9 | 14-12-1 |
| Craig | 15-7 | 13-9 | 11-10-1 |