Tip-Off: 7 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Thunder (-4)
Trends Against The Spread
|28-16 (63%)||26-19 (57%)|
|14-8 (63%) at home||11-10 (52%) on the road|
|5-7 (41%) as favorite||21-14 (60%) as underdog or pick|
|5-4 (55%) as home favorite||10-9 (52%) as road underdog|
|Head To Head|
|0-0 (0%)||0-0 (0%)|
Trends Against The Total
- OKC has hit the over 58% of the time this season.
- The Pacers have hit the over 48% of the time this season.
- The Thunder is 14-7-1 against the over at home this season.
- Indiana is 9-12 against the over on the road this season.
The Thunder went 1-1 against the Pacers last season (0-1 at home, 1-0 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-4)
The Pacers are riding a 3-game losing streak, and Tyrese Haliburton is set to miss his fourth straight contest due to injury. OKC is rolling right now, having won 3 straight on the road, and I think they will come out hot in front of the home crowd. The Pacers are a talented team, even without Haliburton, but I genuinely think the Thunder could win this one by double digits.
Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (239)
Both of these teams have high-scoring offenses, but recent context matters. OKC is outscoring opponents by double-digits over the last 10 games, scoring well over their average and allowing well under their season average. Meanwhile, Indiana is trending the opposite in their last few games without Haliburton. As a result, I don’t see this one hitting the over unless the Thunder turn it into a blowout. I think OKC wins convincingly, but nothing too crazy, so I’m taking the under.
On the Season