Tip-Off: 7 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Warriors (+5)
Trends Against The Spread
|32-17 (65%)||23-25-1 (47%)|
|16-9 (64%) at home||8-16 (33%) on the road|
|25-10 (71%) as underdog or pick||14-17-1 (45%) as favorite|
|9-5 (64%) as home underdog||3-8 (27%) as road favorite|
|Head To Head|
|0-0 (0%)||0-0 (0%)|
Trends Against The Total
- OKC has hit the over 54% of the time this season.
- The Warriors have hit the over 59% of the time this season.
- The Thunder is 15-9-1 against the over at home this season.
- Golden State is 18-5-1 against the over on the road this season.
The Thunder went 0-3 against the Warriors last season (0-2 at home, 0-1 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (+5)
Golden State has struggled to cover the spread, not doing so even half of the time. They’re especially bad on the road, failing to cover twice as often as they actually do. Admittedly, some of their struggles this season have been due to injuries, but even though they’re healthy and OKC is a bit hampered, I see the Thunder keeping this one close. Who knows? OKC might even pull out a win…
Why the Game Will Hit the Over (242.5)
This is one of the largest point totals that OKC has seen all season, and it makes sense playing the Warriors, who have the second-highest scoring offense in the league. Add to it that Golden State allows the 5th most points in the league, and we’re likely to have a shootout on our hands. OKC is up to 6th in the NBA in scoring, but their defense has drastically improved from near worst to 20th in points allowed. Luguentz Dort is out, though, so the Thunder’s defense takes a hit. As a result, I could see this one popping off for well over 240, perhaps even into 250 territory.
On the Season