Tip-Off: 7 PM CT
Location: Toyota Center (Houston, Texas)
Spread: Thunder (+5.5)
Total: 232.5
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | @ | Rockets |
| All | ||
| 32-18 (64%) | 18-29-3 (38%) | |
| Location | ||
| 16-8 (64%) on the road | 10-12-2 (45%) at home | |
| Status | ||
| 7-7 (50%) as favorite | 18-27-3 (40%) as underdog or pick | |
| Location Status | ||
| 0-3 (0%) as road favorite | 10-11-2 (47%) as home underdog | |
| Head To Head | ||
| 0-1 (0%) | 1-0 (100%) |
Trends Against The Total
- OKC has hit the over 55% of the time this season.
- The Rockets have hit the over 49% of the time this season.
- The Thunder is 11-13 against the over on the road this season.
- Houston is 10-13-1 against the over at home this season.
Team Stats
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKC | 116.9 | 115.9 | 46.9 | 37.9 | 44.1 | 24.5 | 13.8 | 8.1 | 5.0 | L1 | 6-4 |
| HOU | 109.6 | 117.1 | 45.0 | 32.7 | 46.8 | 22.3 | 17.1 | 7.2 | 4.8 | W1 | 2-8 |
Series History
The Thunder is 0-1 against the Rockets so far this season (0-0 at home, 0-1 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-5.5)
OKC is obviously the better team in this matchup, and that’s under normal circumstances. The Thunder is still without Luguentz Dort, but the Rockets are missing two starters in Jalen Green and Kevin Porter Jr., so I think Houston will struggle to score in the backcourt. I wouldn’t be surprised if OKC turned this into a blowout, but really, they just need to take care of business and cover the spread.
Staff Picks
Why the Game Will Hit the Over (232.5)
The Rockets have one of the lowest-scoring offenses in the league, plus they are missing their top-two scorers who typically account for 40+ points combined. Still, Jabari Smith Jr. and Alperen Sengen could give OKC trouble in the paint. Either way, I expect this one to hit the point total because OKC’s backcourt should score with ease.
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 24-21 | 23-22 | 23-22 |
| Zack | 24-26 | 33-17 | 23-26-1 |
| Craig | 20-15 | 18-16 | 18-15-1 |