Tip-Off: 2:30 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Thunder (-1)
Trends Against The Spread
|43-26-1 (62%)||36-32-2 (52%)|
|22-14 (61%) at home||18-16-1 (52%) on the road|
|13-10 (56%) as favorite||12-13-1 (48%) as underdog or pick|
|12-6 (66%) at home favorite||9-8-1 (52%) as road underdog|
|Head To Head|
|0-1-1 (0%)||1-0-1 (100%)|
Trends Against The Total
- OKC has hit the over 55% of the time this season.
- The Suns have hit the over 47% of the time this season.
- The Thunder is 22-13-1 against the over at home this season.
- Phoenix is 18-16-1 against the over on the road this season.
The Thunder is 0-2 against the Suns so far this season (0-0 at home, 0-2 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-1)
The Suns have defeated the Thunder twice in the last month, winning by 31 just a 11 days ago. Things should go differently today, though, as Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is in the lineup for OKC, and the Suns are missing both Kevin Durant and DeAndre Ayton. Luguentz Dort will have a tough cover trying to slow down Devin Booker, who torched the Thunder for 44 points on March 8th, but Phoenix will have their hands full trying to slow down SGA. I like OKC to win at home in this one.
Why the Game Will Hit the Over (234.5)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Devin Booker are two of the league’s most exciting scorers, and I expect today’s matchup between the two and their teams to feature plenty of scoring. This should be a close game that goes down to the wire, and we might even see some extra basketball if it goes into overtime. Either way, I’m feeling pretty good about the over on the point total.
On the Season