Tip-Off: 6 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Suns (-5.5)
Trends Against The Spread
|45-32-1 (58%)||39-36-2 (52%)|
|23-16 (59%) at home||19-19-1 (50%) on the road|
|31-18-1 (63%) as underdog or pick||27-20-1 (57%) as favorite|
|10-8 (55%) as home underdog||10-8 (55%) as road favorite|
|Head To Head|
|1-1-1 (50%)||1-1-1 (50%)|
Trends Against The Total
- OKC has hit the over 53% of the time this season.
- The Suns have hit the over 58% of the time this season.
- The Thunder is 24-14-1 against the over at home this season.
- Phoenix is 21-17-1 against the over on the road this season.
The Thunder is 1-2 against the Suns so far this season (1-0 at home, 0-2 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (+5.5)
This is an extremely pivotal game for the Thunder. Not only does it effect the playoff standings, but it could be key for development in a lot of ways. The Suns are clearly built to win a championship, while the Thunder is steadily moving in that direction. In all reality, OKC would stand no real chance against Phoenix in a 7-game series, but if they could pick up a meaningful late-season win, that could go a long way for confidence. With that being said, I’m taking the Thunder to cover, even if I’m not confident in them pulling out the win.
Why the Game Will Hit the Over (237)
The Thunder is capable of popping off for a ton of points on any given night, even if they haven’t shot the ball particularly well lately. Perhaps BECAUSE they have shot so poorly lately they are due for a big one. As for Phoenix, they’re not really a high-scoring team; they’re definitely more defensive-minded. Still, because I think OKC shakes off some of the bad shooting, and because I anticipate this one to be a close game, it wouldn’t surprise me if we saw a ton of points. I’m taking the over.
On the Season