MLB Best Bet For August 21, 2023 | Mariners vs. White Sox

We were able to turn last week’s early failures into late successes. We went 10-2, over the last four days, to close out the week with a 13-8 record, and $31.12 in winnings. Hopefully our streak of success continues into this week as we start off with Seattle (69-55) at the Chicago White Sox (49-75).

July 31 – August 611-10$-2.86
August 7 – 1311-9-1$-1.59
August 14-2013-8$31.12

The Pitchers

Seattle’s Luis Castillo (9-7, 3.23 ERA) has picked up three wins in his last five outings. Over that stretch, he’s allowed an average of 2.8 earned runs per game, and has struck out 33 total batters. In his last start (August 16) he went seven innings, against the Royals, striking out just three and allowing four earned runs, in a 6-5 win.

Chicago’s Touki Toussaint (1-5, 4.47 ERA) has one win across his last five appearances. He’s allowed an average of 2.2 earned runs during that span, and has struck out 26 batters. In his last outing (August 15) he lasted four innings, striking out four and allowing three earned runs.

The Lineups

Seattle’s offense is led by Cal Raleigh (22 home runs) Julio Rodriguez (.278 ERA and 79 RBI)P. The Mariners have scored 31 runs over the last five games.

Luis Robert Jr. leads the White Sox in home runs (33) and RBI (67). Andrew Benintendi has a team best .272 batting average for Chicago. The White Sox have plated 24 runs in the last five games.

The Streaks

The Mariners have won six games in a row as they head to Chicago. The White Sox have lost three of their last four games but are coming off a 10-5 win over Colorado.

The Odds

Mariners -1.5

Mariners -185 on the moneyline

O/U 8.5

The spread scares me a bit on this one because I have Seattle coming in just under that -1.5 margin which means I should take the White Sox at +1.5. I don’t have a lot of confidence in that bet, though. The Mariners on the moneyline is the best bet, but it’s not going to pay out a lot at -185. I typically gravitate towards the under on the run total but I’m heading towards the over for this one, and getting pretty decent odds with it.

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