MLB Best Bet For September 10, 2023 | Brewers vs. Yankees

My travel schedule prevented me from looking over yesterday’s MLB slate, but we’re back at it today in hoped of closing out a strong week. Friday’s 1-2 record on the White Sox/Tigers game dropped us down to 9-6 on the week, but we have the opportunity to finish strong with Milwaukee (79-62) at the New York Yankees (70-72) this afternoon.

The Pitchers

This is our second time to have Gerrit Cole (13-4, 2.90 ERA) this week. He was at the helm of a 5-1 Yankee win on September 5th and as picked up wins in three consecutive starts. Over the last five games Cole has an average of 2.6 earned runs per game.

Cole will be opposed by Milwaukee’s Corbin Burnes (9-8, 3.63 ERA) who has won twice in his last five games but is most recently coming off a 4-2 loss at Pittsburgh. Burnes is allowing an average of 3.80 earned runs per game over his last five.

The Lineups

Willy Adames leads Milwaukee with 24 home runs and 72 RBI, while William Contreras leads the Brewers in batting average (.282.). Milwaukee has scored 30 runs over the last five games.

New York is led by Aaron Judge and Gleyber Torres. Judge leads the Yankees with 31 home runs while Torres leads the team in batting average (.272) and RBI (62). Over the last five games New York has only scored 16 runs.

The Streaks

The Brewers are going for a three-game sweep of the Yankees this afternoon, having already won the first two in the series. Milwaukee has won three of its last five games. For the Yankees, the two losses to Milwaukee extends their current losing streak to three games.

The Odds

Yankees -1.5

Yankees -135 on the moneyline

O/U 7.5

I’m on the opposite side of the favorites here. The Brewers are hitting the ball really well and have already taken two games at Yankee Stadium this weekend. I think they’ll take the third as well, which means I’m taking Milwaukee at +1.5, and on the moneyline. I’m also breaking from my routine here and going with the over.

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