Tip-Off: 7 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
Trends Against The Spread
|3-2 (60%)||All||3-2 (60%)|
|1-2 (33%) at home||Location||3-0 (100%) on the road|
|2-1 (66%) as underdog or pick||Status||1-2 (33%) as favorite|
|0-1 (0%) as home underdog||Location Status||1-0 (100%) as road favorite|
|0-0 (0%)||Head To Head||0-0 (0%)|
Trends Against The Total
- OKC has hit the over 40% of the time this season.
- Golden State has hit the over 20% of the time this season.
- The Thunder is 1-2 against the over at home this season.
- The Warriors are 1-2 against the over on the road this season.
The Thunder went 1-3 against the Warriors last season (1-1 at home, 0-2 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will NOT Cover (+5.5)
OKC will be without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (sprained left knee), and that’s enough cause for concern against any team, let alone the Warriors. While I do think the other guys can step up and keep it to within single digits, I’m not so sure about keeping it to within 5.
Why the Game Will Hit the Over (227.5)
It’s going to take a monster effort from the Thunder to slow down Golden State’s offense, and if Kevon Looney is able to do in the paint what the Pelicans did on Wednesday, OKC will probably give up a lot of points. I do think that the Thunder will find ways to score as well, though, so I’m taking the over on the point total.
On the Season