Thunder Against the Spread | Expect OKC to Bounce Back Against Minnesota

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-2)

Total: 228.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	vs.	Timberwolves
18-8-1 (69%)	All	15-10-3 (60%)
10-5 (66%) at home	Location	7-6-2 (53%) on the road
11-5 (68%) as favorite	Status	4-4 (50%) as underdog or pick
8-3 (72%) as home favorite	Location Status	2-4 (33%) as road underdog
0-0-1 (0%)	Head To Head	0-0-1 (0%)

Trends Against The Total

• OKC has hit the over 57% of the time this season.
• Minnesota has hit the over 53% of the time this season.
• The Thunder is 9-5-1 against the over at home this season.
• The Wolves are 10-5 against the over on the road this season.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
MIN	113.5	106.5	48.6	37.7	45.0	26.2	15.0	7.5	6.1	W2	8-2
OKC	120.7	113.6	49.2	38.3	41.4	25.8	12.7	8.5	6.4	L1	7-3

Series History

The Thunder is 0-1 against the Wolves so far this season (0-0 at home, 0-1 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-2)

OKC struggled on both ends of the floor in a 9-point loss to the visiting Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday, and I expect them to flip the script in several ways against the Timberwolves. The Thunder should definitely shoot the ball better than they did on Saturday, and I anticipate them to turn it up on the defensive end as well. This will be a close one, as expected, but if it comes down to a one possession game, I’m taking the team with the best player on the floor, which is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for the Thunder.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (228.5)

The Timberwolves have perhaps the best defense in the NBA, and while OKC didn’t show it on Saturday against the Lakers, the Thunder is solid as well. The final in the first meeting a month ago in Minnesota was 106-103, and I wouldn’t be surprised if we had another game similar to that final score.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	14-13	15-11-1	7-20
Zack	19-8	15-11-1	15-12
Craig	16-6	1-10-1	6-16