Thunder Against the Spread | OKC a Double-Digit Favorite At Home Against Magic

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)

Total: 231.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	vs.	Magic
25-11-1 (69%)	All	25-13 (65%)
15-5 (75%) at home	Location	13-8 (61%) on the road
16-7 (69%) as favorite	Status	16-10 (61%) as underdog or pick
12-3 (80%) as home favorite	Location Status	10-8 (55%) as road underdog
0-0 (0%)	Head To Head	0-0 (0%)

Trends Against The Total

• OKC has hit the over 61% of the time this season.
• Orlando has hit the over 45% of the time this season.
• The Thunder are 12-7-1 against the over on the road this season.
• The Magic are 11-9-1 against the over at home this season.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
ORL	112.8	111.6	46.9	34.8	43.7	24.8	14.9	8.4	5.5	L2	4-6
OKC	122.8	113.7	50.9	39.7	41.2	27.5	12.7	8.2	6.5	W3	8-2

Series History

This is the first meeting between the Thunder and the Magic this season. The Thunder went 1-1 against the Magic last season (1-0 at home, 0-1 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will NOT Cover (+11.5)

Before the Portland game, I said I don’t really like double-digit spreads. I knew the Blazers were awful, though, so I wasn’t particularly concerned, and the Thunder obviously covered that one. Orlando, however, is quite a bit better, and despite the fact that they are dealing with several injuries, they don’t lose by double digits very often, so I’m thinking OKC doesn’t cover the spread in this one.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (231.5)

The Magic definitely rely more on their defense than their offense, but OKC is just too good offensively not to score points. Because I think it’ll be a single-digit game, I’m thinking Orlando will figure out a way to keep up, pushing the over on the point total.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	20-16	20-15-1	11-25
Zack	26-11	23-13-1	17-20
Craig	22-8	16-13-1	12-18