Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Has Tough Cover On the Road Against the Timberwolves

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Target Center (Minneapolis, Minnesota)

Spread: Timberwolves (-3)

Total: 229

Trends Against The Spread

ThunderatTimberwolves
27-13-1 (67%)All21-17-3 (55%)
11-8-1 (57%) on the roadLocation11-7-1 (61%) at home
9-5-1 (64%) as underdog or pickStatus16-12-3 (57%) as favorite
6-3-1 (66%) as road underdogLocation Status9-7-1 (56%) as home favorite
1-0-1 (100%)Head To Head0-1-1 (0%)
  • OKC has hit the over 60% of the time this season.
  • Minnesota has hit the over 53% of the time this season.
  • The Thunder are 12-8 against the over on the road this season.
  • The Timberwolves are 8-11 against the over at home this season.

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%3P%REBASTTOVSTLBLKSTRKL10
OKC121.9113.750.539.141.127.412.58.26.4L26-4
MIN116.8118.246.835.646.628.016.17.16.0W69-1

Series History

The Thunder is 1-1 against the Timberwolves so far this season (1-0 at home, 0-1 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will NOT Cover (+3)

The season series so far between these teams has come down to the home team having that home court advantage. OKC played Minnesota close in Minneapolis to lose by 3 points, but the Thunder dominated the Timberwolves in OKC. This is the fourth game of a 4-game road trip for the Thunder, and I think it’s going to be another close one, but Minnesota just doesn’t really lose at home, so I think the Timberwolves win and barely cover the spread.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (229)

The first matchup was a defensive slugfest, and the second one featured more offense. Based on how OKC in particular has been playing lately, I expect this one to go just over the point total, but it will definitely have some flashes of defensive brilliance throughout.

Staff Picks

On the Season

NameMoneylineSpreadOver/Under
Matt21-1920-19-112-28
Zack29-1224-16-119-22
Craig23-1017-15-113-20

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