Tip-Off: 7:30 PM CT
Location: Frost Bank Center (San Antonio, Texas)
Spread: Thunder (-11)
Total: 236.5
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | at | Spurs |
| 37-20-1 (64%) | All | 27-31-1 (46%) |
| 16-11-1 (59%) on the road | Location | 11-14-1 (44%) at home |
| 27-15 (64%) as favorite | Status | 23-30-1 (43%) as underdog or pick |
| 9-8 (52%) as road favorite | Location Status | 8-13-1 (38%) as home underdog |
| 2-0 (100%) | Head To Head | 0-2 (0%) |
Trends Against The Total
- OKC has hit the over 58% of the time this season.
- San Antonio has hit the over 48% of the time this season.
- The Thunder are 16-11-1 against the over on the road this season.
- The Spurs are 15-11 against the over at home this season.
Team Stats
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKC | 121.3 | 113.0 | 50.2 | 39.8 | 41.7 | 27.2 | 12.6 | 8.1 | 6.8 | W6 | 8-2 |
| SAS | 111.9 | 120.6 | 46.0 | 34.3 | 43.3 | 29.6 | 14.9 | 7.4 | 6.2 | L5 | 1-9 |
Series History
The Thunder is 2-0 against the Spurs so far this season (1-0 at home, 1-0 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-11)
The Spurs have lost by more than 11 points 13 times this season. That means that just a little over 25% of their losses have been by that margin. In February, it’s happened 6 times out of 10 losses, but just once since the All-Star Break. I’m not sure what to make of these numbers, but because OKC has blown out San Antonio by 36 and 26, I’m going to say that the Thunder covers the spread.
Why the Game Will Hit the Over (235.5)
The Spurs haven’t been winning games, and they are not likely to keep this one close, but OKC can put up plenty of points for both teams to help cover this point total. The Thunder and the Spurs combined for 210 points in their first meeting back in November, but they put up 254 total in the second meeting a little over a month ago. I feel like this one is far more likely to go on the high side than the low side, so I’m taking the over.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 31-25 | 28-27-1 | 21-35 |
| Zack | 41-17 | 33-24-1 | 26-32 |
| Craig | 35-14 | 25-23-1 | 17-32 |
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