Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Should Cover Monster Spread At Home Against Jazz

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-15)

Total: 231.0

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	vs.	Jazz
39-27-1 (59%)	All	36-32 (52%)
22-12 (64%) at home	Location	14-19 (42%) on the road
29-22 (56%) as favorite	Status	24-26 (48%) as underdog or pick
19-10 (65%) as home favorite	Location Status	11-17 (39%) as road underdog
2-1 (66%)	Head To Head	1-2 (33%)

Trends Against The Total

• OKC has hit the over 56% of the time this season.
• Utah has hit the over 55% of the time this season.
• The Thunder are 18-15-1 against the over at home this season.
• The Jazz are 18-15 against the over on the road this season.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
UTA	117.2	120.6	47.0	36.0	46.2	27.9	15.6	6.6	5.8	L2	2-8
OKC	120.7	113.1	50.0	39.4	41.7	26.9	12.4	8.2	6.7	W2	7-3

Injury Report

Thunder

• Adam Flagler is OUT (G League — two-way).

Jazz

• Darius Bazley is OUT (G League — on assignment).
• Jordan Clarkson is OUT (strained right groin).
• John Collins is QUESTIONABLE (right facial contusion).
• Johnny Juzang is QUESTIONABLE (G League — two-way).
• Kenneth Lofton Jr. is OUT (G League — on assignment).
• Lauri Markkanen is OUT (right quadricep contusion; injury management).
• Micah Potter is QUESTIONABLE (G League — two-way).
• Jason Preston is QUESTIONABLE (G league — two-way).

Series History

The Thunder are 2-1 against the Utah Jazz so far this season (1-0 at home, 1-1 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-15)

OKC continues to be a big favorite against the league’s lower echelon of teams, and despite Utah’s somewhat decent season at times, the Jazz are clearly on a downward trend as we enter the final stretch. Utah has lost 13 of their last 16 games, and 6 of those losses have been by at least 16 points. The Thunder are healthy, the Jazz are not, and OKC should be able to pick up an easy win in front of the home crowd.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (231)

Utah has struggled to score lately, but the primary reason for that is playing some of the league’s top defenses in Minnesota and Boston. OKC is definitely right up there with those teams defensively, but the Thunder also have one of the highest-scoring offenses in the league. I can see this one going the Thunder’s way early, which could lead to some extra Jazz points in garbage time. The three previous meetings this season have all hit the over, and while Utah is definitely missing some dudes, I’m still feeling good about the over.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	37-28	32-32-1	26-38
Zack	47-20	37-29-1	32-34
Craig	40-16	27-28-1	21-34