Thunder Against the Spread | OKC a Heavy Favorite in Toronto Against Short-Handed Raptors

Tip-Off: 6 PM CT

Location: Scotiabank Arena (Toronto, Canada)

Spread: Thunder (-15.5)

Total: 229.5

Trends Against The Spread

ThunderatRaptors
39-28-1 (58%)All31-38 (44%)
17-15-1 (53%) on the roadLocation13-21 (38%) at home
29-23 (55%) as favoriteStatus21-25 (45%) as underdog or pick
10-12 (45%) as road favoriteLocation Status5-12 (29%) as home underdog
0-1 (0%)Head To Head1-0 (100%)
  • OKC has hit the over 56% of the time this season.
  • Toronto has hit the over 50% of the time this season.
  • The Thunder are 19-13-1 against the over on the road this season.
  • The Raptors are 12-22 against the over at home this season.

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%3P%REBASTTOVSTLBLKSTRKL10
OKC120.7113.050.039.241.826.912.48.36.7W37-3
TOR113.3118.147.435.343.229.013.67.74.9L81-9

Injury Report

Thunder

  • Ousmane Dieng is OUT (G League — on assignment).
  • Adam Flagler is OUT (G League — two-way).
  • Keyontae Johnson is OUT (G League — two-way).
  • Olivier Sarr is OUT (G League — two-way).

Raptors

  • Scottie Barnes is OUT (fractured third metacarpal in left hand).
  • RJ Barrett is OUT (personal reasons).
  • Chris Boucher is OUT (partial MCL tear in right knee).
  • D.J. Carton is OUT (sprained right ankle).
  • Jakob Poeltl is OUT (torn ligament in fifth finger of left hand).
  • Immanuel Quickly is OUT (personal reasons).

Series History

The Thunder are 1-0 against the Toronto Raptors so far this season (1-0 at home, 0-0 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-15)

OKC is a heavy favorite yet again, but this might be the most worth of large spreads in quite some time, even though the Thunder are on the road. The Toronto Raptors have lost 8 straight, and they are without their three arguably best players (Scottie Barnes, RJ Barrett, Immanuel Quickley), so this one could go south quickly. Toronto has plenty of quality guys left that can play tough, physical basketball, which OKC has struggled with at times, but I think the Thunder’s ability to score and the lack of Toronto’s playmaking is going to lead to a massive blowout. Add to it that Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is playing in the city in which he was born, and he could go scorched earth.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (229.5)

When it comes to expected blowouts, it’s hard to pick where the point total is going to fall, but I think one is going to land safely on the over side of things. A 130-110 final score seems likely, so I’m thinking a lot of points in this one.

Staff Picks

On the Season

NameMoneylineSpreadOver/Under
Matt38-2833-32-127-38
Zack48-2037-30-132-35
Craig41-1627-29-122-34

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