Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Given Slight Edge Over Pelicans in NOLA

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Smoothie King Center (New Orleans, Louisiana)

Spread: Thunder (-1)

Total: 223

Trends Against The Spread

ThunderatPelicans
40-29-1 (58%)All40-30-1 (57%)
18-16-1 (52%) on the roadLocation19-14 (57%) at home
30-23 (56%) as favoriteStatus16-9-1 (64%) as underdog or pick
11-12 (47%) as road favoriteLocation Status5-3 (62%) as home underdog
1-1 (50%)Head To Head1-1 (50%)
  • OKC has hit the over 54% of the time this season.
  • New Orleans has hit the over 42% of the time this season.
  • The Thunder are 19-15-1 against the over on the road this season.
  • The Pelicans are 15-18 against the over at home this season.

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%3P%REBASTTOVSTLBLKSTRKL10
OKC120.3112.949.838.941.826.812.58.46.6L17-3
NOP115.7110.449.038.044.527.113.28.24.9W28-2

Injury Report

Thunder

  • Ousmane Dieng is OUT (G League — on assignment).
  • Adam Flagler is OUT (G League — two-way).
  • Keyontae Johnson is OUT (G League — two-way).

Pelicans

  • Dyson Daniels is OUT (left knee meniscectomy).
  • Malcolm Hill is OUT (G League — two-way).
  • Brandon Ingram is OUT (bone contusion in left knee).
  • E.J. Liddell is OUT (G League — on assignment).
  • Dereon Seabron (G League — two-way).

Series History

The Thunder are 1-1 against the New Orleans Pelicans so far this season (0-1 at home, 1-0 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-1)

I’m kind of shocked at how little OKC is favored. The Pelicans have been solid lately, and I know the Thunder suffered a pretty ugly loss in Milwaukee on Sunday, but even though this one is in New Orleans, the Thunder are the better team. On top of that, the Pelicans are still missing Brandon Ingram. I think Zion Williamson and Jonas Valanciunas will get plenty of rebounds, but OKC’s backcourt is far superior, and they’re due for a good shooting night after the atrocity that took place on Sunday. I’m taking the Thunder.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (223)

The reason that I’m picking OKC to win is the same reason I’m picking the over on the point total: I expect a quality shooting night. The Thunder were terrible from both the field and beyond the arc on Sunday against the Bucks, and they usually do a good job at making up for those off shooting nights, so I expect a good offensive night with an easy over on the point total.

Staff Picks

On the Season

NameMoneylineSpreadOver/Under
Matt40-2834-33-129-38
Zack49-2138-31-132-37
Craig41-1627-29-122-34

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