Thunder Against the Spread | SGA is Questionable, So OKC is a Slight Road Dog

Tip-Off: 6 PM CT

Location: Madison Square Garden (New York City, New York)

Spread: Knicks (+1.5)

Total: 217

Trends Against The Spread

ThunderatKnicks
42-30-1 (58%)All39-33-1 (54%)
19-16-1 (54%) on the roadLocation19-17-1 (52%) on the road
11-6-1 (64%) as underdog or pickStatus26-16 (61%) as favorite
7-4-1 (63%) as road underdogLocation Status16-11 (59%) as road favorite
1-0 (100%)Head To Head0-1 (0%)
  • OKC has hit the over 56% of the time this season.
  • New York has hit the over 42% of the time this season.
  • The Thunder are 20-15-1 against the over at home this season.
  • The Knicks are 13-24 against the over on the road this season.

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%3P%REBASTTOVSTLBLKSTRKL10
OKC120.5113.049.939.141.826.912.58.36.1W17-3
NYK112.6107.846.336.645.824.213.37.34.2L17-3

Injury Report

Thunder

  • Ousmane Dieng is OUT (G League — on assignment).
  • Adam Flagler is OUT (G League — two-way).
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is QUESTIONABLE (right quad contusion).
  • Keyontae Johnson is OUT (G League — two-way).
  • Olivier Sarr is OUT (G League — two-way).
  • Lindy Waters III is QUESTIONABLE (G League — on assignment).

Knicks

  • OG Anunoby is OUT (right elbow injury management).
  • Alec Burks is PROBABLE (sprained right shoulder).
  • Isaiah Hartenstein is PROBABLE (sprained right wrist).
  • Julius Randle is OUT (dislocated right shoulder).
  • Mitchell Robinson is QUESTIONABLE (sprained left ankle).

Series History

The Thunder are 1-0 against the New York Knicks so far this season (1-0 at home, 0-0 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (+1.5)

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is questionable to play due to the right thigh contusion he’s been dealing with for a little while now, and I’m sure his status will remain undecided until right before tip-off. The Knicks have had a solid season, but they’re dealing with some injuries themselves, and I feel like OKC is a far deeper team. As long as the Thunder can slow down what Jalen Brunson does, then I feel good about OKC squeaking out a road win.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (217)

Out of 73 games played so far for the Thunder, only 17 of those have featured a point total at 217 or fewer. The Knicks play at a much slower pace than OKC does, but I have a hard time seeing this one being THAT low-scoring. I’m expecting a total of mid-220s, so give me the over.

Staff Picks

On the Season

NameMoneylineSpreadOver/Under
Matt41-2935-34-129-40
Zack50-2339-33-135-37
Craig43-1729-30-125-34

One Reply to “Thunder Against the Spread | SGA is Questionable, So OKC is a Slight Road Dog”

Leave a Reply