Thunder Against the Spread | OKC a Heavy Favorite in Charlotte Despite Questions on Injury Report

Tip-Off: 5 PM CT

Location: Spectrum Center (Charlotte, North Carolina)

Spread: Thunder (-9)

Total: 218.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	at	Hornets
42-34-1 (55%)	All	30-44-3 (40%)
19-20-1 (48%) on the road	Location	17-19-3 (47%) at home
31-24 (55%) as favorite	Status	29-39-2 (42%) as underdog or pick
12-13 (48%) as road favorite	Location Status	17-14-3 (54%) as home underdog
1-0 (100%)	Head To Head	0-1 (0%)

Trends Against The Total

• OKC has hit the over 57% of the time this season.
• Charlotte has hit the over 49% of the time this season.
• The Thunder are 23-16-1 against the over on the road this season.
• The Hornets are 20-19 against the over at home this season.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
OKC	119.8	113.4	49.8	38.7	41.7	26.9	12.6	8.3	6.6	L3	5-5
CHA	106.3	116.5	45.9	35.1	40.5	24.7	13.7	6.7	4.4	W1	2-8

Injury Report

Thunder

• Ousmane Dieng is OUT (G League — on assignment).
• Adam Flagler is OUT (G League — two-way).
• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is OUT (right quad contusion).
• Gordon Hayward is QUESTIONABLE (strained left posterior tibialis).
• Isaiah Joe is PROBABLE (sprained right ankle).
• Keyontae Johnson is OUT (G League — two-way).
• Olivier Sarr is OUT (G League — two-way).
• Jalen Williams is QUESTIONABLE (sprained left ankle).

Hornets

• Amari Bailey is DOUBTFUL (illness).
• LaMelo Ball is OUT (right ankle tendinopathy).
• Leaky Black is QUESTIONABLE (strained abdominal).
• Seth Curry is OUT (sprained right ankle).
• Cody Martin is OUT (sprained left ankle).
• Nick Richards is QUESTIONABLE (right plantar fascia discomfort).
• Mark Williams is OUT (lower back injury recovery).

Series History

The Thunder are 1-0 against the Charlotte Hornets so far this season (1-0 at home, 0-0 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will NOT Cover (-9)

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is currently in OKC so that he can stay conditioned and ready for his return, which I suspect will be Tuesday at home against the Sacramento Kings. Even with him out, the Thunder has plenty of talent to beat a struggling Hornets squad. Jalen Williams is listed as questionable, but I expect him to make a return, and even if he’s more like 90-95% than 100% healthy, I anticipate he has a solid game and leads the Thunder to a win. Still, I can see Charlotte making it slightly more difficult than it should be with a late cover to keep the deficit to single digits.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (218.5)

Off the top of my head, this is easily one of the lowest point totals in a Thunder game all season long. The only way this doesn’t hit the over is if Charlotte builds a brick mansion of bad shots and can’t get on the scoreboard. Because I expect the Hornets to keep it reasonably close, I see this one soaring over the point total.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	42-32	37-36-1	29-44
Zack	52-25	40-36-1	37-39
Craig	45-19	31-32-1	27-36