Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Favored Heavy in Game 1 with NOLA Missing Zion

Tip-Off: 8:30 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-8)

Total: 216

Trends Against The Spread

Thundervs.Pelicans
46-35-1 (56%)All45-38-1 (54%)
27-14 (65%) at homeLocation24-17-1 (58%) on the road
35-26 (57%) as favoriteStatus20-11-1 (64%) as underdog or pick
23-12 (65%) as home favoriteLocation Status14-6-1 (70%) as road underdog
2-1 (66%)Head To Head1-2 (33%)
  • OKC has hit the over 56% of the time this season.
  • New Orleans has hit the over 43% of the time this season.
  • The Thunder are 21-19-1 against the over at home this season.
  • The Pelicans are 16-25-1 against the over on the road this season.

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%3P%REBASTTOVSTLBLKSTRKL10
NOP115.1110.748.638.344.027.013.08.34.6L15-5
OKC120.1112.749.938.942.027.112.78.56.6W57-3

Injury Report

Thunder

  • NONE

Pelicans

  • Zion Williamson is OUT (strained left hamstring).

Series History

The Thunder are 2-1 against the New Orleans Pelicans so far this season (0-1 at home, 2-0 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-8)

The Pelicans are without Zion Williamson for the foreseeable future, and without him, there’s not really a guy on the team that can just go get a bucket at any time. CJ McCollum can pop off in bursts, particularly because of his three-point shooting ability, but he hasn’t played well lately, and OKC is so well-rounded defensively that it’s going to take a lot from New Orleans to make this a game and really even a series. OKC is a heavy favorite not just in Game 1 but in the series as a whole, and I think the Thunder make a statement tonight with a double-digit victory.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (216)

Both of these teams are pretty solid defensively, and 2 of the 3 regular season meetings were at 216 or below on the point total. With Zion missing, the Pelicans might struggle to score, but I expect plenty of points from the Thunder as the crowd in Loud City is going to be absolutely bonkers. I’m taking the over.

Staff Picks

On the Season

NameMoneylineSpreadOver/Under
Matt46-3340-38-133-45
Zack57-2543-38-139-43
Craig49-1935-32-129-38

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