Tip-Off: 7 PM CT
Location: American Airlines Center (Dallas, Texas)
Spread: Mavericks (-4)
Total: 209
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | at | Mavericks |
| 51-39-1 (56%) | All | 55-38 (59%) |
| 22-22-1 (50%) on the road | Location | 24-22 (52%) at home |
| 12-10-1 (54%) as underdog or pick | Status | 38-21 (64%) as favorite |
| 8-8-1 (50%) as road underdog | Location Status | 18-15 (54%) as home favorite |
| 4-5 (44%) | Head To Head | 5-4 (55%) |
Trends Against The Total
- OKC has hit the over 52% of the time this season.
- Dallas has hit the over 44% of the time this season.
- The Thunder are 24-20-1 against the over on the road this season.
- The Mavericks are 18-28 against the over at home this season.
Team Stats (Playoffs only)
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 105.5 | 102.0 | 45.4 | 35.7 | 43.5 | 22.7 | 12.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | W1 | 6-4 |
| OKC | 104.6 | 97.5 | 45.7 | 35.5 | 42.7 | 22.9 | 11.9 | 7.6 | 6.3 | L1 | 6-3 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- NONE
Mavericks
- Luka Doncic is PROBABLE (sprained right knee, left ankle soreness).
- Maxi Kleber is OUT (sprained right shoulder).
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper is OUT (sprained left ankle).
Series History
The Thunder went 3-1 against the Dallas Mavericks in the regular season series (2-0 at home, 1-1 on the road).
The Thunder are 2-3 against the Dallas Mavericks in the Western Conference Semifinals so far (1-2 at home, 1-1 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (+4)
OKC’s active 4-game shooting stretch is unprecedented. Dallas deserves a little credit for their defense, but it just doesn’t make sense that the Thunder can’t get shots to fall. It’s got to change tonight, or this series is over. I can’t believe I’m believing again, but I fully anticipate OKC to finally start hitting some shots, which will lead to a win.
Why the Game Will Hit the Over (209)
The Thunder HAVE to hit shots…right? If they do (they should), then there’s no way this game doesn’t break the point total.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 53-35 | 46-41-1 | 34-50 |
| Zack | 63-28 | 48-42-1 | 41-50 |
| Craig | 53-22 | 38-36-1 | 31-43 |