Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Heavily Favored Against Blazers in Bounceback Opportunity

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-12.5)

Total: 224

Trends Against The Spread

Thundervs.Blazers
9-6 (60%)All8-6 (57%)
5-4 (55%) at homeLocation3-3 (50%) on the road
8-6 (57%) as favoriteStatus8-6 (57%) as underdog
5-4 (55%) as home favoriteLocation Status3-3 (50%) as road underdog
1-0 (100%)Head To Head0-1 (100%)
  • Oklahoma City is 7-8 (46%) against the over on the season.
  • Portland is 6–8 (42%) against the over on the season.
  • The Thunder is 5-4 (40%) against the over at home.
  • The Blazers are 2-4 (33%) against the over on the road.

Team Stats (Last Season’s Stats)

TEAMPTSPAFG%3P%REBASTTOVSTLBLKSTRKL10
POR107.4114.243.632.943.621.816.99.66.3W35-5
OKC114.6103.945.834.742.225.311.712.36.9L26-4

Injury Report

Thunder

  • Isaiah Hartenstein (fractured left hand) is QUESTIONABLE.
  • Chet Holmgren (fractured right iliac wing) is OUT.
  • Isaiah Joe (left calf contusion) is QUESTIONABLE.
  • Nikola Topic (left ACL surgery recovery) is OUT.
  • Jaylin Williams (strained right hamstring) is OUT.

Blazers

  • DeAndre Ayton (deep contusion in right index finger) is DOUBTFUL.
  • Bryce McGowens (G League — two-way) is OUT.
  • Justin Minaya (G League — two-way) is OUT.
  • Taze Moore (G League — two-way) is OUT.
  • Anfernee Simons (illness) is QUESTIONABLE.
  • Matisse Thybulle (right knee injury management) is OUT.

Series History

The Thunder is 1-0 against the Blazers so far this season (0-0 at home, 1-0 on the road) and have 13 straight against Portland, including 6 in a row at the Paycom Center.

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-12.5)

The Thunder suffered a pretty embarrassing loss last night in San Antonio to a severely depleted Spurs squad, and that alone should give OKC fans reason to believe that a butt whooping is in order for tonight’s matchup with the Blazers. OKC has won 13 straight against the Blazers, including a 137-114 win in Portland just a few weeks ago. However, the Blazers have won 3 games in a row, including two against the Minnesota Timberwolves, so they’re obviously doing something right lately. Still, I think OKC’s need for a big win after a couple of close losses will be too overwhelming for Portland.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (224)

San Antonio shot the lights out last night against the Thunder and still managed just 110 points. The Blazers are bottom 5 in field goal percent, three-point percent, and turnovers, which is a recipe for disaster against OKC’s defense. I’m expecting a blowout win for the Thunder, but the point total is still going to be well under line.

Staff Picks

On the Season

NameMoneylineSpreadOver/Under
Matt9-57-78-6
Zack11-49-69-6
Craig10-410-3-19-5

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