Tip-Off: 6 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
Total: 230
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | vs. | Memphis |
| 19-12 (61%) | All | 22-10 (68%) |
| 9-5 (64%) at home | Location | 9-5 (64%) on the road |
| 18-12 (60%) as favorite | Status | 7-2 (77%) as underdog or pick |
| 9-5 (64%) as home favorite | Location Status | 4-2 (66%) as road underdog |
| 0-0 (0%) | Head To Head | 0-0 (0%) |
Trends Against The Total
- Oklahoma City is 13-18 (41%) against the over on the season.
- Memphis is 20-11-1 (64%) against the over on the season.
- The Thunder is 7-7 (50%) against the over at home.
- The Grizzlies are 10-4 (71%) against the over at home.
Team Stats (Last Season’s Stats)
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MEM | 124.0 | 113.7 | 48.7 | 37.3 | 48.5 | 30.6 | 17.1 | 9.2 | 6.6 | W2 | 8-2 |
| OKC | 114.9 | 103.2 | 46.4 | 34.6 | 44.2 | 25.5 | 11.8 | 11.8 | 6.1 | W10 | 10-0 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Branden Carlson (concussion protocol) is OUT.
- Alex Caruso (strained left hip) is OUT.
- Luguentz Dort (sprained right ankle) is AVAILABLE.
- Alex Ducas (G League — two-way) is OUT.
- Adam Flagler (G League —two-way) is OUT.
- Chet Holmgren (fractured right iliac wing) is OUT.
- Nikola Topic (sprained left knee) is OUT.
- Cason Wallace (left quad contusion) is AVAILABLE.
Grizzlies
- Santi Aldama (sprained left ankle) is OUT.
- Brandon Clarke (right knee soreness) is QUESTIONABLE.
- Zach Edey (concussion protocol) is OUT.
- GG Jackson II (right fifth metatarsal repair) is OUT.
- Ja Morant (right AC joint sprain) is OUT.
- Marcus Smart (partial extensor hood tear in right index finger) is OUT.
- Vince Williams Jr. (sprained right ankle) is OUT.
Series History
The Thunder went 3-0 against the Grizzlies last season (2-0 at home, 1-0 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-6.5)
As of this writing, OKC will be playing without Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, and Alex Caruso. It is very possible that Dort and Wallace could be back after taking last night off to rest some bumps and bruises, but even if they don’t play, I see OKC covering this spread. Memphis is without Ja Morant, and while he’s not their only option by any stretch, he is a key piece that creates a completely different dynamic for the Grizzlies. Without him, Memphis is 8-4, so they have fared well in his absences, but I like OKC to cover decisively at home.
Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (230)
Memphis is the top-scoring offense in the league, and that doesn’t drop off in Morant’s absence. Still, OKC is the top defense in the league, and I expect the Thunder to drastically slow down what the Grizzlies like to do on the offense, so I’m taking the under on a point total that OKC has hit just 11 times in 30 games.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 20-9 | 16-12-1 | 13-16 |
| Zack | 25-6 | 22-9 | 17-14 |
| Craig | 24-6 | 22-5-2 | 16-14 |
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