Tip-Off: 5 PM CT
Location: Capital One Arena (Washington, D.C.)
Spread: Thunder (-16)
Total: 231
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | at | Wizards |
| 25-13 (65%) | All | 13-22-1 (37%) |
| 11-8 (57%) on the road | Location | 8-11 (42%) at home |
| 24-12 (66%) as favorite | Status | 13-22-1 (37%) as underdog or pick |
| 10-7 (58%) as road favorite | Location Status | 8-11 (42%) as home underdog |
| 1-0 (100%) | Head To Head | 0-1 (0%) |
Trends Against The Total
- Oklahoma City is 17-21 (44%) against the over on the season.
- Washington is 18-18 (50%) against the over on the season.
- The Thunder is 8-11 (42%) against the over on the road.
- The Wizards are 10-9 (52%) against the over at home.
Team Stats
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKC | 115.6 | 103.6 | 47.1 | 35.4 | 43.6 | 25.9 | 12.0 | 11.6 | 6.0 | W1 | 9-1 |
| WAS | 108.7 | 122.3 | 44.5 | 33.5 | 44.4 | 25.1 | 16.4 | 7.6 | 5.5 | L5 | 2-8 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Alex Caruso (strained left hip) is OUT.
- Ousmane Dieng (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
- Adam Flagler (G League —two-way) is OUT.
- Chet Holmgren (fractured right iliac wing) is OUT.
- Dillon Jones (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
- Ajay Mitchell (right great toe surgery) is OUT.
- Nikola Topic (left knee surgery) is OUT.
Wizards
- Marvin Bagley III (sprained right knee) is OUT.
- Saddiq Bey (left knee ACL surgery) is OUT.
- Malcolm Brogdon (plantar fascia contusion in right foot) is OUT.
- Tristan Vukcevic (sprained right ankle) is OUT.
Series History
The Thunder is 1-0 against the Wizards so far this season (1-0 at home, 0-0 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-16)
This is a giant spread under normal circumstances, but when you take a closer look, you realize it’s really not that outlandish at all. OKC’s average margin of score is +12 points, and Washington’s average is -13.6 points. The Thunder has won 14 games by at least 16 points—one of those was an 18-point victory against the Wizards in OKC just a few weeks ago—so they should be able to handle business and roll over Washington just fine.
Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (231)
Despite blowing teams out often, OKC hits the under on the point total more often than the other. That’s because of their suffocating defense, which they should be able to apply to a weak Wizards offense. While I do think the Thunder blows the Wizards out, I think it’s going to be more about keeping Washington from scoring than trying to beat them in a track meet. I’m taking the under on the point total.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 26-10 | 21-14-1 | 15-21 |
| Zack | 31-7 | 27-11 | 20-18 |
| Craig | 30-7 | 26-8-2 | 17-20 |
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