Thunder Against the Spread | OKC a Double-Digit Favorite in Philly as Sixers Are Missing Joel Embiid

Tip-Off: 6 PM CT

Location: Wells Fargo Center (Philadelphia, Pennsylvania)

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)

Total: 218.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	at	Sixers
26-13 (66%)	All	14-23 (37%)
12-8 (60%) on the road	Location	4-13 (23%) at home
25-12 (67%) as favorite	Status	8-12 (40%) as underdog or pick
11-7 (61%) as road favorite	Location Status	3-5 (37%) as home underdog
0-0 (0%)	Head To Head	0- (0%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 17-21-1 (44%) against the over on the season.
• Philadelphia is 19-17-1 (52%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 8-11-1 (42%) against the over on the road.
• The Sixers are 7-9-1 (43%) against the over at home.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
OKC	116.1	103.4	47.1	35.5	43.9	25.9	12.0	11.6	6.0	W2	9-1
PHI	107.4	110.6	44.8	34.3	39.7	21.8	14.1	9.6	4.3	L2	5-5

Injury Report

Thunder

• Ousmane Dieng (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
• Adam Flagler (G League —two-way) is OUT.
• Chet Holmgren (fractured right iliac wing) is OUT.
• Dillon Jones (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
• Ajay Mitchell (right great toe surgery) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (left knee surgery) is OUT.

Sixers

• Andre Drummond (sprained left toe) is OUT.
• Joel Embiid (sprained left foot) is OUT.
• Kyle Lowry (strained right hip) is OUT.
• Caleb Martin (right groin soreness) is QUESTIONABLE.
• KJ Martin (stress reaction in left foot) is OUT.
• Jared McCain (meniscus surgery on left knee) is OUT.

Series History

The Thunder went 0-2 against the Sixers last season (0-1 at home, 0-1 on the road). OKC has lost the last 4 meetings with the Sixers in Philadelphia.

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-11.5)

The Sixers have had the Thunder’s number in year’s past primarily because of the matchup issue that Joel Embiid creates. Well, Embiid is out, and the Thunder has Isaiah Hartenstein now, so this meeting should go a bit differently. Philadelphia has quality playmakers in Tyrese Maxey and Paul George, but OKC’s stellar defense should be enough to open up a big lead late and cover the spread.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (218.5)

Averaging just 107.4 points per game, Philadelphia has found themselves in some low-scoring games this season, particularly in losses. With both Joel Embiid and Andre Drummond out, the Sixers don’t have a lot of options in the paint, and that will spell trouble for their offense. This very well could be another opportunity for OKC’s defense to hold an opponent to under 100 points, so I’m taking the under on the point total.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	27-10	22-14-1	16-21
Zack	32-7	28-11	21-18
Craig	31-7	27-8-2	18-20