Tip-Off: 6:30 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)
Total: 232.5
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | vs. | Cavaliers |
| 27-13 (67%) | All | 27-12 (69%) |
| 14-5 (73%) at home | Location | 13-4 (76%) on the road |
| 26-12 (68%) as favorite | Status | 3-0 (100%) as underdog or pick |
| 14-5 (73%) as road favorite | Location Status | 3-0 (100%) as road underdog |
| 0-1 (0%) | Head To Head | 1-0 (100%) |
Trends Against The Total
- Oklahoma City is 18-21-1 (46%) against the over on the season.
- Cleveland is 25-14 (64%) against the over on the season.
- The Thunder is 9-10 (47%) against the over at home.
- The Cavs are 11-6 (64%)%) against the over on the road.
Team Stats
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 122.3 | 111.4 | 50.2 | 39.9 | 43.8 | 29.1 | 13.1 | 8.6 | 4.7 | W1 | 9-1 |
| OKC | 116.2 | 103.4 | 47.3 | 35.4 | 43.8 | 26.0 | 12.2 | 11.6 | 5.9 | W3 | 9-1 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Ousmane Dieng (G League — on assignment) is AVAILABLE.
- Isaiah Hartenstein (strained left soleus) is OUT.
- Chet Holmgren (fractured right iliac wing) is OUT.
- Dillon Jones (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
- Ajay Mitchell (right great toe surgery) is OUT.
- Nikola Topic (left knee surgery) is OUT.
Cavaliers
- Emoni Bates (G League — two-way) is OUT.
- Ty Jerome (illness) is QUESTIONABLE.
- JT Thor (G League — two-way) is OUT.
- Luke Travers (G League — two-way) is OUT.
Series History
The Thunder is 0-1 against the Cavs so far this season (0-0 at home, 0-1 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-1.5)
With no Isaiah Hartenstein or Chet Holmgren, OKC might win one or two games against the Cavaliers if this were a 7-game series. Fortunately for the Thunder, this just a regular season game, which gives them a lot of options. Losing Hartenstein for at least a week sucks, but OKC still has the best player in the matchup, so I’m thinking the Thunder can strategize well enough to sneak past Cleveland for a win tonight.
Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (232.5)
Cleveland is going to score some easy ones in the paint. I can pretty much guarantee that. But with OKC being forced to play smaller ball, I think they’re going to be able to turn up the intensity on defense and force some tough shots outside of the paint. I would not be surprised if the point total was well below the expected the line, so I’m taking the under.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 28-10 | 22-15-1 | 16-22 |
| Zack | 33-7 | 29-11 | 21-19 |
| Craig | 32-7 | 28-8-2 | 19-20 |