Thunder Against the Spread | OKC a Narrow Favorite at Home Against Cavs Despite No Hartenstein

Tip-Off: 6:30 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-1.5)

Total: 232.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	vs.	Cavaliers
27-13 (67%)	All	27-12 (69%)
14-5 (73%) at home	Location	13-4 (76%) on the road
26-12 (68%) as favorite	Status	3-0 (100%) as underdog or pick
14-5 (73%) as road favorite	Location Status	3-0 (100%) as road underdog
0-1 (0%)	Head To Head	1-0 (100%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 18-21-1 (46%) against the over on the season.
• Cleveland is 25-14 (64%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 9-10 (47%) against the over at home.
• The Cavs are 11-6 (64%)%) against the over on the road.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
CLE	122.3	111.4	50.2	39.9	43.8	29.1	13.1	8.6	4.7	W1	9-1
OKC	116.2	103.4	47.3	35.4	43.8	26.0	12.2	11.6	5.9	W3	9-1

Injury Report

Thunder

• Ousmane Dieng (G League — on assignment) is AVAILABLE.
• Isaiah Hartenstein (strained left soleus) is OUT.
• Chet Holmgren (fractured right iliac wing) is OUT.
• Dillon Jones (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
• Ajay Mitchell (right great toe surgery) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (left knee surgery) is OUT.

Cavaliers

• Emoni Bates (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Ty Jerome (illness) is QUESTIONABLE.
• JT Thor (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Luke Travers (G League — two-way) is OUT.

Series History

The Thunder is 0-1 against the Cavs so far this season (0-0 at home, 0-1 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-1.5)

With no Isaiah Hartenstein or Chet Holmgren, OKC might win one or two games against the Cavaliers if this were a 7-game series. Fortunately for the Thunder, this just a regular season game, which gives them a lot of options. Losing Hartenstein for at least a week sucks, but OKC still has the best player in the matchup, so I’m thinking the Thunder can strategize well enough to sneak past Cleveland for a win tonight.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (232.5)

Cleveland is going to score some easy ones in the paint. I can pretty much guarantee that. But with OKC being forced to play smaller ball, I think they’re going to be able to turn up the intensity on defense and force some tough shots outside of the paint. I would not be surprised if the point total was well below the expected the line, so I’m taking the under.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	28-10	22-15-1	16-22
Zack	33-7	29-11	21-19
Craig	32-7	28-8-2	19-20