Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Favored On the Road Against Timberwolves

Tip-Off: 7:30 PM CT

Location: Target Center (Minneapolis, Minnesota)

Spread: Thunder (-7.5)

Total: 222

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	at	Timberwolves
35-19 (64%)	All	23-31-1 (42%)
14-11 (56%) on the road	Location	8-19-1 (29%) at home
34-18 (64%) as favorite	Status	7-5 (58%) as underdog or pick
13-10 (56%) as road favorite	Location Status	1-2 (33%) as home underdog
1-0 (100%)	Head To Head	0-1 (0%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 28-25-1 (52%) against the over on the season.
• Minnesota is 30-25 (54%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 11-13-1 (45%) against the over on the road.
• The Wolves are 16-12 (57%) against the over at home.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
OKC	118.2	104.7	47.6	36.0	44.5	26.2	12.0	11.1	5.6	W7	8-2
MIN	111.4	108.2	46.1	38.0	44.1	25.2	15.2	7.9	5.0	L2	6-4

Injury Report

Thunder

• Alex Caruso (strained left hip) is OUT.
• Ousmane Dieng (strained right soleus) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Ajay Mitchell (sprained right great toe) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (left knee surgery) is OUT.
• Cason Wallace (strained right shoulder) is QUESTIONABLE.

Timberwolves

• Mike Conley (sprained right index finger) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Donte DiVincenzo (sprained left great toe) is OUT.
• Jesse Edwards (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Julius Randle (strained right groin) is OUT.

Series History

So far this season, the Thunder is 1-0 against the Timberwolves (1-0 at home, 0-0 on the road). OKC has defeated Minnesota in 3 of the last 4 meetings.

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-7.5)

Both the Thunder and the Wolves are playing in the second game of a back-to-back, but Minnesota has the benefit of being at home for both games. Still, the Timberwolves lost to a depleted Milwaukee Bucks squad last night while the Thunder won their 7 straight game—all by double digits. Minnesota has only lost 8 times by at least 10 points, but I do think OKC will narrowly cover the spread.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (222)

4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams have seen a combined score of 218 or fewer total points, and I think that will happen again tonight. Both teams are playing their 8th game in 13 days, but OKC prob has slightly fresher legs considering how many blowouts they’ve played in. Still, I see this as more of a defensive battle than a shootout, so don’t be surprised if the total finishes well below the line.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	38-14	30-21-1	22-29-1
Zack	44-10	38-16	27-27
Craig	42-10	35-15-2	24-27-1