Tip-Off: 6:30 PM CT
Location: State Farm Arena (Atlanta, Georgia)
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)
Total: 243
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | at | Hawks |
| 36-23 (61%) | All | 28-31 (47%) |
| 15-14 (51%) on the road | Location | 12-15 (44%) at home |
| 35-22 (61%) as favorite | Status | 20-16 (55%) as underdog or pick |
| 14-13 (51%) as road favorite | Location Status | 7-5 (58%) as home underdog |
| 1-0 (100%) | Head To Head | 0-1 (0%) |
Trends Against The Total
- Oklahoma City is 32-26-1 (56%) against the over on the season.
- Atlanta is 35-24 (59%) against the over on the season.
- The Thunder is 14-14-1 (50%) against the over on the road.
- The Hawks are 17-10 (63%) against the over at home
Team Stats
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKC | 118.6 | 106.0 | 47.6 | 36.1 | 44.7 | 26.5 | 11.9 | 10.8 | 5.8 | W1 | 8-2 |
| ATL | 116.6 | 119.2 | 46.3 | 34.9 | 44.9 | 29.3 | 15.9 | 10.0 | 5.1 | L1 | 5-5 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Branden Carlson (G League — two-way) is OUT.
- Alex Caruson (rest) is OUT.
- Alex Ducas (G League — two-way) is OUT.
- Isaiah Hartenstein (nasal fractured) is AVAILABLE.
- Dillon Jones (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
- Ajay Mitchell (sprained right great toe) is OUT.
- Nikola Topic (left knee surgery) is OUT.
Hawks
- Kobe Bufkin (right shoulder surgery) is OUT.
- Jalen Johnson (left shoulder surgery) is OUT.
- Vit Krejci (fractured lumbar) is OUT.
- Larry Nance Jr. (fractured right medial femoral condyle) is OUT.
- Daeqwon Plowden (G League — two-way) is QUESTIONABLE.
- Trae Young (right Achilles tendinitis) is PROBABLE.
Series History
So far this season, the Thunder is 1-0 against the Hawks (1-0 at home, 0-0 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-12.5)
OKC has let lesser opponents play far too close lately but after the Thunder’s defense got off to a terrible start against the Nets on Wednesday, they managed to lock in late and turn the game around. The Hawks are a bit of a one-man show on offense right now, and they will go as far as Trae Young can take them. I think the Thunder’s defense looks more prominent than it has in a while, so I’m picking them to cover the spread late.
Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (243)
Atlanta isn’t known for their defense, but Dyson Daniels has emerged as one of the top perimeter defenders in the league. I think the Thunder wins handily, but I don’t expect some great shootout. I’m taking the under on the point total.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 41-16 | 34-22-1 | 24-32-1 |
| Zack | 47-12 | 41-18 | 29-30 |
| Craig | 45-12 | 39-16-2 | 28-28-1 |