Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Continues Road Trip in Atlanta as Double-Digit Favorites Against Hawks

Tip-Off: 6:30 PM CT

Location: State Farm Arena (Atlanta, Georgia)

Spread: Thunder (-12.5)

Total: 243

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	at	Hawks
36-23 (61%)	All	28-31 (47%)
15-14 (51%) on the road	Location	12-15 (44%) at home
35-22 (61%) as favorite	Status	20-16 (55%) as underdog or pick
14-13 (51%) as road favorite	Location Status	7-5 (58%) as home underdog
1-0 (100%)	Head To Head	0-1 (0%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 32-26-1 (56%) against the over on the season.
• Atlanta is 35-24 (59%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 14-14-1 (50%) against the over on the road.
• The Hawks are 17-10 (63%) against the over at home

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
OKC	118.6	106.0	47.6	36.1	44.7	26.5	11.9	10.8	5.8	W1	8-2
ATL	116.6	119.2	46.3	34.9	44.9	29.3	15.9	10.0	5.1	L1	5-5

Injury Report

Thunder

• Branden Carlson (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Alex Caruson (rest) is OUT.
• Alex Ducas (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Isaiah Hartenstein (nasal fractured) is AVAILABLE.
• Dillon Jones (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
• Ajay Mitchell (sprained right great toe) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (left knee surgery) is OUT.

Hawks

• Kobe Bufkin (right shoulder surgery) is OUT.
• Jalen Johnson (left shoulder surgery) is OUT.
• Vit Krejci (fractured lumbar) is OUT.
• Larry Nance Jr. (fractured right medial femoral condyle) is OUT.
• Daeqwon Plowden (G League — two-way) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Trae Young (right Achilles tendinitis) is PROBABLE.

Series History

So far this season, the Thunder is 1-0 against the Hawks (1-0 at home, 0-0 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-12.5)

OKC has let lesser opponents play far too close lately but after the Thunder’s defense got off to a terrible start against the Nets on Wednesday, they managed to lock in late and turn the game around. The Hawks are a bit of a one-man show on offense right now, and they will go as far as Trae Young can take them. I think the Thunder’s defense looks more prominent than it has in a while, so I’m picking them to cover the spread late.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (243)

Atlanta isn’t known for their defense, but Dyson Daniels has emerged as one of the top perimeter defenders in the league. I think the Thunder wins handily, but I don’t expect some great shootout. I’m taking the under on the point total.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	41-16	34-22-1	24-32-1
Zack	47-12	41-18	29-30
Craig	45-12	39-16-2	28-28-1