Thunder Against the Spread | Short-Handed OKC Still Heavily Favored on the Road Against the Jazz

Tip-Off: 8:30 PM CT

Location: Delta Center (Salt Lake City, Utah)

Spread: Thunder (-9.5)

Total: 234

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	at	Jazz
54-27 (66%)	All	40-40 (50%)
24-15 (61%) on the road	Location	20-20 (50%) at home
52-26 (66%) as favorite	Status	39-38 (50%) as underdog
22-14 (61%) as road favorite	Location Status	19-18 (51%) as home underdog
2-1 (66%)	Head To Head	1-2 (33%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 44-36-1 (55%) against the over on the season.
• Utah is 47-33 (58%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 19-19-1 (50%) against the over on the road.
• The Jazz are 23-17 (57%) against the over at home.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
OKC	120.3	107.7	48.1	37.6	44.6	26.8	11.8	10.3	5.7	W2	8-2
UTA	112.0	121.0	45.6	35.1	45.3	25.6	17.3	6.8	4.4	W1	1-9

Injury Report

Thunder

• Alex Caruso (sprained right ankle) is OUT.
• Ousmane Dieng (strained left calf) is OUT.
• Luguentz Dort (right patellofemoral injury management) is OUT.
• Alex Ducas (strained right quad) is OUT.
• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (left shin contusion) is OUT.
• Isaiah Hartenstein (left Achilles tendinitis) is OUT.
• Chet Holmgren (low back spasm) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (left knee surgery) is OUT.
• Cason Wallace (strained right shoulder) is OUT.
• Jalen Williams (strained right hip) is OUT.

Jazz

• Jordan Clarkson (left plantar fasciitis) is OUT.
• Isaiah Collier (right hamstring soreness) is QUESTIONABLE.
• John Collins (sprained left ankle) is OUT.
• Elijah Harkless (strained left groin) is OUT.
• Taylor Hendricks (fractured right fibula) is OUT.
• Walker Kessler (nasal fracture; concussion protocol) is OUT.
• Lauri Markkanen (left knee injury management) is OUT.
• KJ Martin (illness) is OUT.
• Cody Williams (illness) is OUT.

Series History

So far this season, the Thunder is 3-0 against the Jazz (2-0 at home, 1-0 on the road). The Thunder has defeated the Jazz in 9 of the last 10 meetings, including 3 of the last 4 in Salt Lake City.

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-9.5)

OKC is sitting 7 of their top guys as the end of the season nears, but Utah is embracing the tank, and they’re missing a ton of guys as well. The Thunder is going to play hard regardless of who is out there, and the Jazz probably would rather lose, so I’m taking OKC to win by double digits.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (234)

The Thunder has struggled to score at times this season without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander on the floor, but that has dramatically improved over time. Ajay Mitchell is making his return to play tonight after a few months off due to toe surgery, and while he’s undoubtedly going to be rusty, he’s a great game manager and facilitator, and OKC has enough guys that can put points on the board. Utah also has some quality younger scorers, so I expect this one to go over the point total, especially if the Thunder is going to cover the spread.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	59-19	47-30-1	36-42-1
Zack	66-15	57-24	42-39
Craig	63-16	56-21-2	38-40-1